Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Recoleta play Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 22:45. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.43 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Recoleta 68%, Cerro Porteño 38%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Recoleta 64%, Cerro Porteño 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.19. Deportivo Recoleta: 10.9 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.6.
Match halves
Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (10 goals). Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-0-5. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Cerro Porteño has 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses this season, while Deportivo Recoleta posts a 6–4–8 record, giving a clear advantage to the visitors in number of wins. The visitors’ defense looks better statistically — Cerro has conceded 14 goals this season and has 50% clean sheets away, whereas Recoleta has conceded 24 and has only 22% clean sheets at home. The home attack is nonetheless productive: Recoleta scores an average of 1.89 goals per game and has netted 8 goals in the last 5 matches, with a shot-to-goal conversion of 16% versus 12% for Cerro. The visitors, however, create higher-quality chances (average xG 1.48 away vs 1.29 xG for the hosts), take more shots (13.63 vs 12.11) and have a higher away win rate (63% vs 44%), which supports an edge for the visitors. Considering fewer goals conceded, higher xG and a better win record, I predict an away victory, although the fact that Recoleta fail to score in only 11% of home games (compared to 38% of away games without a goal for Cerro) suggests the hosts should also score and the match could be tight.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Recoleta | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Recoleta is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Recoleta is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.43 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 0.9 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Recoleta
Over / Under — Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.48 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Recoleta | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 29% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Deportivo Recoleta 0 - 0 - 5 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 2:1 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 0, Cerro Porteño won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.59 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.43. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 38% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.