Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad: match statistics
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Recoleta played Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 5 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Ricardo Gregor. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Libertad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.41 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.56 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Recoleta 71%, Libertad 47%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Recoleta 65%, Libertad 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.29. Deportivo Recoleta: 11.7 shots per match, Libertad: 14.6.
Match halves
Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.85. Libertad: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (13 goals). Libertad: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-3. Average goals 3.43, BTTS 86%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad hold a slight edge thanks to more consistent results: they have won 16 of 34 matches this season, compared with Deportivo Recoleta’s 10, and scored 8 goals in their last five games, versus 4 for the hosts. The visitors are also stronger defensively, conceding 39 goals this season compared with their opponents’ 56. Away from home, they concede an average of 1.29 goals, while Deportivo concede 1.47 at home. Chance quality also gives Libertad a slight advantage: their away xG is 1.51, while the hosts allow chances worth an average of 1.59 xG at home. However, backing the visitors remains a cautious pick, as Deportivo win 41% of their home matches and score an average of 1.71 goals in them, while Libertad have lost 53% of their away games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario in which at least one team fails to score is slightly more likely: matches involving Deportivo Recoleta saw both teams score in 53% of cases, compared with just 41% for Libertad, against a league average of 52%. The main concern is the visitors’ attacking output, as they failed to score in 35% of their matches, while the home side kept a clean sheet in 35%. On the other hand, Deportivo averaged 1.82 goals per game and Libertad conceded 1.29, so a home goal looks plausible. However, Deportivo scored only 4 goals across its last five matches, despite averaging 1.36 xG, which reduces confidence in that expectation. Both teams scored in 60% of Libertad’s last five outings, so the edge for BTTS - No remains slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 65% of Deportivo Recoleta matches and 88% of Libertad’s games. Although the hosts average 1.82 goals scored, they have managed just 0.8 per match across their last five games, while Libertad conceded an average of 1.0 over the same period. Libertad, meanwhile, have scored 1.6 goals per match recently, but Deportivo’s season average for goals conceded stands at 1.0, limiting expectations for the visitors’ goal tally. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 47% of their matches, while the league average is 2.44 goals per game. With projected totals of 1.35 goals for the hosts and 1.12 for the visitors, Under 3.5 goals offers a clearer edge than the other available options.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Deportivo Recoleta were level at the break in 59% of their matches, compared with 47% for Libertad. The hosts have failed to score in the first half in each of their last five matches, further weakening the case for an early lead. Over the season, however, Deportivo win more often than Libertad (59% versus 35%) and average 1.82 goals per match compared with their opponents’ 1.29. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.12 goals, while the visitors concede 0.65, making a Deportivo win after a level first half the single most likely outcome. The pick remains uncertain, as Libertad have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last five games, compared with 0.8 for Deportivo.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Recoleta | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Libertad is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.4 pts / match - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.56 goals / match - Libertad
Libertad is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.15 goals / match - Libertad
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Libertad scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
Over / Under - Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Deportivo Recoleta · 1.32 pts / match - Libertad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Recoleta | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 3 - 3 Libertad. Average goals 3.43, both teams scored in 86% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
The Division Profesional match finished Deportivo Recoleta 1:2 Libertad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Deportivo Recoleta won 1, Libertad won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.41 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.56. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Deportivo Recoleta's matches and 47% of Libertad's.
What form are Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Recoleta have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Libertad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad?
The statistical background for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.