Deportivo Saprissa vs Cartaginés: match statistics

Deportivo Saprissa have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 4, while Cartaginés have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat over the same period. At home, Saprissa have a 100% win rate and average 3.5 goals per match, whereas the visitors lost their only away game so far, failed to score, and recorded 100% of matches without a goal. The hosts are also significantly more clinical, converting 26% of their shots with 7.5 shots on target per match, while Cartaginés, despite 17 attempts and an xG of 1.98 away from home, failed to capitalize on their chances. Saprissa’s home xG stands at 1.93, while their opponents allow an average of 1.51 xG, further strengthening the outlook for another home win. Cartaginés may enjoy more possession, averaging 57%, but their poor away efficiency clearly favors Saprissa.

Saprissa have very strong attacking potential at home, scoring an average of 2.5 goals, including 2.6 goals per match across their last five fixtures. Despite averaging zero away goals in the current sample, Cartaginés create chances worth 1.98 xG and record an average of 5.0 shots on target, suggesting better attacking quality than their goal output alone indicates. In their last five matches, the hosts have conceded an average of 0.8 goals from 1.12 xG against them, while the visitors have scored 1.2 goals per game during this period. The BTTS rate across the last five matches stands at 80% for Saprissa and 60% for Cartaginés, compared with the league average of 60%. The main risk remains Cartaginés’ lack of away goals to date, but their shot volume and xG marginally support BTTS - Yes.

Saprissa are in an excellent run of five consecutive wins, averaging 2.6 goals scored and conceding just 0.8 in their last 5 matches. Over the same period, Cartaginés averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, while their attacking xG average of 1.54 suggests they should create a few high-quality chances. The hosts average 13 shots, including 5.5 on target, while the visitors average 17 shots and 5 on target, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. In Saprissa’s last five appearances, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of matches, while the projected total of 2.60 goals provides a particularly strong margin for Over 1.5. Over 2.5 remains more evenly balanced, as Saprissa’s defence allows an average of just 0.81 xG across the competition.

Deportivo Saprissa have won all five of their last matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Cartaginés have recorded a 40% win rate over the same period, with an average of 1.2 goals scored. The hosts were leading at the break in three of their last five matches and were not behind in any of them after 45 minutes, whereas the visitors were level at half-time in 60% of their games, leaving a significant possibility of the X/1 outcome. Saprissa’s second-half performances are particularly impressive: they score an average of 2.0 goals after the break, and at least two goals were scored in four of their last five matches. Cartaginés failed to score in the first half in three of their last five appearances, while Saprissa kept a clean sheet before the break in all five matches. The hosts’ advantage in form, attacking efficiency and post-break intensity points primarily to Saprissa leading at half-time and securing the final victory.