Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo: match statistics
Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Táchira played Carabobo in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Táchira: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Carabobo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Táchira scores 1.25 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Carabobo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Táchira 50%, Carabobo 58%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Táchira 42%, Carabobo 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Carabobo has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.49. Deportivo Táchira: 14.0 shots per match, Carabobo: 17.3.
Match halves
Deportivo Táchira: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Carabobo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Táchira: 16-30 (6 goals). Carabobo: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Táchira holds the home advantage: at home they average 1.33 goals scored and concede 1.00 goal per match, with home xG of 1.60 versus opposition xG 0.85, translating into 50% home wins and a +2 goal difference. Carabobo arrive in strong attacking form — 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game), with a 3-1-1 record and 2.0 points per game over that span. Away, the visitors generate more chances (away xG 1.92, 17.8 shots and 5.4 on target) than the hosts, but their shot conversion is only 6% versus Táchira’s 9%, so they are less efficient at turning chances into goals. Defensively Táchira are more solid at home (1.00 goals conceded and 0.85 opposition xG), while Carabobo concede 1.2 goals on average away and carry a negative away goal difference (-1 GD), which increases the hosts’ edge. Based on this I back the home win: 50% chance for 1, 35% for a draw and 15% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Main signals favor BTTS - Yes: Carabobo posts a seasonal BTTS of 80% versus Deportivo Táchira’s 43%, and both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, a strong indicator. xG and shot metrics confirm attacking potential — Carabobo averages xG for 1.92 and 17.8 shots per match (5.4 on target), while Deportivo averages xG for 1.87 and 16.86 shots (6.57 on target); meanwhile xG against is 1.04 for the home side and 1.01 for the visitors, suggesting room for goals from both teams. Counterweight: Deportivo’s high clean sheet rate of 57% and the fact that the visitors average 1.0 goal scored per season while the hosts concede 0.86 goals on average, so there is a real risk of a one-sided or low-scoring outcome. Weighing Carabobo’s very strong 80% signal and the xG balance (1.87 vs 1.92) against the clean sheet constraint, I estimate a 65% probability for BTTS - Yes and 35% for BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model combines both teams' xG and predicts 1.44 xG for Deportivo Táchira and 1.48 xG for Carabobo, totaling approximately 2.92 goals. At this total, I assess the probability of Over 1.5 goals (at least 2 goals) at about 79%, supported by seasonal trends: Deportivo has 57% of matches Over 1.5, while Carabobo has 80%. The 2.5 line is more balanced — the model gives Over 2.5 at roughly 56% (Under 44%); additionally the league average is 2.58 goals, and in the last 5 matches home xG was 1.35 versus 1.45 for the visitors. Chances for Over 3.5 are lower (around 34%) — although Deportivo averages 2.43 goals at home and records 6.57 shots on target per match with a 14% conversion rate, the club also has 57% clean sheets at home, which limits upside for very high scores. Consequently the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (side: Over, line: 1.5) due to the combined xG of 2.92, high seasonal Over 1.5 rates (57% vs 80%) and relatively large home shot and conversion numbers.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1): the home team draws at the break in 71% of matches and leads at the break in 29% of matches. Over the season Deportivo Táchira wins 57% of matches, while Carabobo has 0% wins and 80% draws, indicating a home advantage in final results. After the break the home side scores on average 1.43 goals and concedes 0.43, and in second halves they have accumulated a total of 15 points and average 2.14 points in second halves, which favors turnarounds from first-half draws. Although the visitors’ xG is 1.92 versus 1.87 for the hosts, the hosts have better efficiency (14% conversion vs 6%) and more shots on target (6.57 vs 5.4), which increases the chance of a breakthrough in the second half. Therefore I assign X/1 the highest weight (42%), with 1/1 15%, 1/X 14% and X/X 29%, and I rate scenarios with the visitors leading or winning at 0% due to the half-time lead data and the visitors’ zero wins this season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Táchira | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Deportivo Táchira · 1.83 goals / match - Carabobo
Deportivo Táchira is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Deportivo Táchira · 1 goals / match - Carabobo
Deportivo Táchira scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Carabobo scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Deportivo Táchira keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Táchira
Over / Under - Carabobo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Táchira is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Deportivo Táchira · 1.42 pts / match - Carabobo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Táchira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Táchira
Carabobo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Táchira | Liga | Carabobo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Deportivo Táchira 3 - 2 - 1 Carabobo. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Táchira 2:1 Carabobo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Táchira and Carabobo?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 3, Carabobo won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo?
Deportivo Táchira score 1.25 goals per game on average and Carabobo 1.83. The Primera División average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Táchira's matches and 58% of Carabobo's.
What form are Deportivo Táchira and Carabobo in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Táchira have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carabobo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.