Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Derby County is showing significantly better form, averaging 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while Birmingham City has only 0.8 points. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+1) and have won 37% of their home games, whereas the visitors lose a staggering 58% of their away matches with a -14 goal difference. Birmingham has serious issues with efficiency on the road, failing to score in 42% of games and averaging just 0.79 goals scored. Derby scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, while Birmingham managed only 3, with the visitors conceding 8 goals in that period. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who have a better expected goals ratio in home matches.
Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derby County played Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Derby County: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Birmingham City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derby County scores 1.45 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derby County 66%, Birmingham City 55%. Over 2.5: Derby County 50%, Birmingham City 47%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.20. Derby County: 10.4 shots per match, Birmingham City: 14.1.
Match halves
Derby County: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.76. Birmingham City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Derby County: 31-45+ (12 goals). Birmingham City: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derby County is showing significantly better form, averaging 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while Birmingham City has only 0.8 points. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+1) and have won 37% of their home games, whereas the visitors lose a staggering 58% of their away matches with a -14 goal difference. Birmingham has serious issues with efficiency on the road, failing to score in 42% of games and averaging just 0.79 goals scored. Derby scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, while Birmingham managed only 3, with the visitors conceding 8 goals in that period. xG statistics also favor the hosts, who have a better expected goals ratio in home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derby County is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Derby County · 0.8 pts / match - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Derby County · 1.26 goals / match - Birmingham City
Derby County scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Derby County · 1.21 pts / match - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derby County
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.59 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Derby County 0 - 1 - 0 Birmingham City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:0 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Derby County score 1.45 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.26. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Derby County's matches and 55% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.