Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers: match statistics
Derby County looks solid at their own stadium, having won 29% and drawn 35% of their matches, providing stability in front of their home crowd. The hosts have a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Blackburn away (-4), as well as a higher average of goals scored per home game (1.24 vs 0.94). Blackburn Rovers faces serious efficiency issues on the road, failing to score in 44% of away matches, which is a concerning statistic. Although the visitors have shown better form in the last five games (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their away record remains weak with a 44% loss rate. Derby should capitalize on home advantage and Blackburn's scoring struggles to secure a valuable three points, though a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.
Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derby County played Blackburn Rovers in Championship (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Blackburn Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derby County scores 1.44 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Blackburn Rovers scores 0.94 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derby County 68%, Blackburn Rovers 47%. Over 2.5: Derby County 50%, Blackburn Rovers 41%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Blackburn Rovers has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.18. Derby County: 10.2 shots per match, Blackburn Rovers: 11.7.
Match halves
Derby County: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Blackburn Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Derby County: 31-45+ (11 goals). Blackburn Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derby County looks solid at their own stadium, having won 29% and drawn 35% of their matches, providing stability in front of their home crowd. The hosts have a superior goal difference at home (-2) compared to Blackburn away (-4), as well as a higher average of goals scored per home game (1.24 vs 0.94). Blackburn Rovers faces serious efficiency issues on the road, failing to score in 44% of away matches, which is a concerning statistic. Although the visitors have shown better form in the last five games (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their away record remains weak with a 44% loss rate. Derby should capitalize on home advantage and Blackburn's scoring struggles to secure a valuable three points, though a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Blackburn Rovers is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Derby County · 1.8 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Derby County · 0.94 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Derby County · 1.26 goals / match - Blackburn Rovers
Derby County scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Blackburn Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Blackburn Rovers scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Blackburn Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Derby County · 1.24 pts / match - Blackburn Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Blackburn Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derby County
Blackburn Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Blackburn Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Derby County 1 - 0 - 0 Blackburn Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers?
The Championship match finished Derby County 3:1 Blackburn Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers?
Derby County score 1.44 goals per game on average and Blackburn Rovers 0.94. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Derby County's matches and 47% of Blackburn Rovers's.
What form are Derby County and Blackburn Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Blackburn Rovers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Blackburn Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.