Derby County vs Ipswich Town: match statistics
Ipswich Town holds a clear advantage in the key statistics of this match. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with 14 wins, while Derby County sits in 7th position with only 12 wins this season. Ipswich dominates in terms of possession (59% vs 47%), shots on target per match (4.23 vs 3.47), and expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.25). Derby has a negative goal difference at home (-3), while Ipswich boasts a positive goal difference away (+3). The form of both teams is similar (2 points per match in the last 5 games), however, Ipswich's higher quality of play, better offensive statistics (1.46 goals per match away vs Derby's 1.2 at home) and more solid defense (1.23 goals conceded vs 1.4) point to an away win. Derby struggles with efficiency at home (only 27% win rate), which further strengthens the predictions in favor of Ipswich Town.
Derby County vs Ipswich Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derby County played Ipswich Town in Championship (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Derby County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ipswich Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derby County scores 1.47 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Ipswich Town scores 1.69 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derby County 70%, Ipswich Town 59%. Over 2.5: Derby County 50%, Ipswich Town 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Ipswich Town has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.18. Derby County: 10.1 shots per match, Ipswich Town: 15.7.
Match halves
Derby County: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.77. Ipswich Town: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Derby County: 31-45+ (10 goals). Ipswich Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ipswich Town holds a clear advantage in the key statistics of this match. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with 14 wins, while Derby County sits in 7th position with only 12 wins this season. Ipswich dominates in terms of possession (59% vs 47%), shots on target per match (4.23 vs 3.47), and expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.25). Derby has a negative goal difference at home (-3), while Ipswich boasts a positive goal difference away (+3). The form of both teams is similar (2 points per match in the last 5 games), however, Ipswich's higher quality of play, better offensive statistics (1.46 goals per match away vs Derby's 1.2 at home) and more solid defense (1.23 goals conceded vs 1.4) point to an away win. Derby struggles with efficiency at home (only 27% win rate), which further strengthens the predictions in favor of Ipswich Town.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ipswich Town is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Derby County · 1.69 goals / match - Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Derby County · 0.97 goals / match - Ipswich Town
Derby County scores in 93% of matches (28 of 30 matches), while Ipswich Town keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Ipswich Town scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Ipswich Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ipswich Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derby County
Ipswich Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.57 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Derby County 0 - 1 - 0 Ipswich Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
The Championship match finished Derby County 1:2 Ipswich Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
Derby County score 1.47 goals per game on average and Ipswich Town 1.69. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Derby County's matches and 59% of Ipswich Town's.
What form are Derby County and Ipswich Town in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ipswich Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Ipswich Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.