Derry City vs Shelbourne: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest between these teams. Derry City has the home-field advantage with a 50% home win rate and a better xG record (2.29 vs 1.03), but their form over the last 5 matches has been inconsistent (1.4 PPG). Shelbourne displays solid performances on the road, remaining unbeaten in away games this season (50% draws, 50% wins) and maintaining high ball possession (66%). A key factor is that neither team is keeping clean sheets, suggesting an open game. Taking into account Shelbourne's stability away from home and the hosts' unpredictable form, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Derry City vs Shelbourne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derry City played Shelbourne in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Derry City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Shelbourne: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derry City scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Shelbourne scores 1.60 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derry City 60%, Shelbourne 100%. Over 2.5: Derry City 60%, Shelbourne 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Derry City has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.84. Derry City: 15.8 shots per match, Shelbourne: 17.6.
Match halves
Derry City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.60. Shelbourne: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Derry City: 76-90+ (5 goals). Shelbourne: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest between these teams. Derry City has the home-field advantage with a 50% home win rate and a better xG record (2.29 vs 1.03), but their form over the last 5 matches has been inconsistent (1.4 PPG). Shelbourne displays solid performances on the road, remaining unbeaten in away games this season (50% draws, 50% wins) and maintaining high ball possession (66%). A key factor is that neither team is keeping clean sheets, suggesting an open game. Taking into account Shelbourne's stability away from home and the hosts' unpredictable form, a draw seems to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derry City | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derry City is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Derry City · 1.2 pts / match - Shelbourne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derry City is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Derry City · 1.6 goals / match - Shelbourne
Derry City scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Shelbourne scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derry City
Over / Under - Shelbourne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shelbourne is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.4 pts / match - Derry City · 1.2 pts / match - Shelbourne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derry City - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shelbourne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derry City
Shelbourne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Derry City | Liga | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Derry City 2 - 1 - 1 Shelbourne. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derry City vs Shelbourne?
The Premier Division match finished Derry City 1:2 Shelbourne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Shelbourne?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Derry City won 2, Shelbourne won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City score 1.60 goals per game on average and Shelbourne 1.60. The Premier Division average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Derry City's matches and 100% of Shelbourne's.
What form are Derry City and Shelbourne in?
Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Shelbourne 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Derry City vs Shelbourne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.