Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Comunale OspitalettoData current as of 22 October 2026

Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Desenzano Calvina play Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto.

Current form

Desenzano Calvina: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Giana Erminio: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Desenzano Calvina scores 0.90 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Desenzano Calvina 50%, Giana Erminio 70%. Over 2.5: Desenzano Calvina 40%, Giana Erminio 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Giana Erminio has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.40. Desenzano Calvina: 10.7 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 12.2.

Match halves

Desenzano Calvina: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Desenzano Calvina: 76-90+ (4 goals). Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.18)
(3.10)
(3.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.9Goals scored / match1
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
45%Average possession51%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
3.1Shots on target / match4
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.7Shots per match12.2
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
3.1Shots on target4
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
8.4%Shot conversion8.2%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
45%Possession51%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
1.4xG for1.53
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
1.87xG against1.89
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

Shooting quality

Desenzano Calvina: BalancedGiana Erminio: Balanced
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
Accuracy (shots on target)29%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Desenzano Calvina is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Desenzano Calvina · 1.4 pts / match - Giana Erminio

Desenzano Calvina
DDWWL
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Giana Erminio
DDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
10% W50% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-5-4
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Giana Erminio is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Desenzano Calvina · 1 goals / match - Giana Erminio

Desenzano Calvina is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Desenzano Calvina · 1.3 goals / match - Giana Erminio

Desenzano Calvina scoring profile: very strong

Desenzano Calvina scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Giana Erminio scoring profile: strong

Giana Erminio scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Desenzano Calvina keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

9Goals scored (season)10
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
11Goals conceded (season)13
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
2Average goals in match2.3
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
30%2 goals30%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0%3 goals0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0%4 goals0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal90%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
20%2 goals40%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
20%3 goals0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
10%4 goals0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Desenzano Calvina - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 10 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time20%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
20%Scored in both halves20%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
40%BTTS - last 580%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Desenzano Calvina is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.9 pts / match - Desenzano Calvina · 0.7 pts / match - Giana Erminio

Desenzano Calvina - half-time state
10% leading60% draw30% trailing
Giana Erminio - half-time state
10% leading40% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per match (1st half)0.7
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.3
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.9Average goals (1st half)1
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
80%No goal before half-time70%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.3
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio
40%No goal after half-time40%
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio

Desenzano Calvina - second-half results

30% W70% D0% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Giana Erminio - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Desenzano Calvina - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Giana Erminio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Desenzano Calvina
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Giana Erminio
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Desenzano Calvina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Giana Erminio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Desenzano CalvinaLigaGiana Erminio
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.40▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 50%52%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▲ 40%32%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%64%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio play?

Desenzano Calvina face Giana Erminio on 25 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

Desenzano Calvina score 0.90 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Desenzano Calvina's matches and 70% of Giana Erminio's.

What form are Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio in?

Over the last 5 games Desenzano Calvina have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Giana Erminio 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.