Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: match statistics
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Desenzano Calvina played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 17 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Desenzano Calvina: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Lecco: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Desenzano Calvina scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Lecco scores 0.25 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Desenzano Calvina 50%, Lecco 0%. Over 2.5: Desenzano Calvina 25%, Lecco 0%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Lecco has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.51. Desenzano Calvina: 10.8 shots per match, Lecco: 13.3.
Match halves
Desenzano Calvina: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. Lecco: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Desenzano Calvina: 76-90+ (3 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have a clear problem in front of goal: Desenzano Calvina failed to score in their only home match, while Lecco have drawn a blank in both away games and in their last five matches overall. The hosts are unbeaten at home thanks to a 0:0 draw and a clean sheet, whereas the visitors have lost both away matches, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. Lecco do create slightly more in the final third, averaging 11 shots and 5 on target compared with Desenzano’s 8 and 2, while their xG stands at 1.37 versus 1.40 for the hosts. On the other hand, Desenzano allow opponents a high home xG of 2.70, although this has not yet translated into goals conceded. With both teams averaging 0 goals in these conditions, a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Lecco have failed to score both in the season data and in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.0 goals. The visitors recorded BTTS at 0% in their last five games, while Desenzano Calvina stand at just 20%, clearly below the league average of 47%. The hosts are also struggling for efficiency, scoring an average of 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, although their xG of 1.42 suggests some potential for a single goal. Lecco create chances worth just 1.06 xG on average, while Desenzano have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far. The more likely scenario is therefore that at least one side—most notably the visitors—will fail to find the back of the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5, as neither team has exceeded this line in 100% of their league matches so far. Desenzano Calvina have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in their last 5 matches, while Lecco have scored 0.0 goals per game and conceded only 1.0. None of the hosts’ last five appearances produced more than 2.5 goals, while this occurred in just 20% of the visitors’ matches. The creative potential is higher, with average xG of 1.42 for the hosts and 1.06 for the visitors, but the very poor finishing of both attacks limits the projection to 2.05 goals. The 3.5 line provides a clear margin even if finishing improves, making the under the strongest value angle here.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a very cautious first half: both teams were level at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored before the break. In this sequence, Desenzano have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, while Lecco have averaged no goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per match. A draw at full-time is also supported by the hosts’ form, with draws in 60% of their last five matches, and by the visitors’ 40% draw rate. After the break, Lecco still average no goals scored, while Desenzano record 0.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, making the HT/FT draw/draw outcome the most likely, although it only narrowly leads the draw/Desenzano win scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Desenzano Calvina | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Desenzano Calvina is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Desenzano Calvina · 1 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Desenzano Calvina is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Desenzano Calvina · 0.25 goals / match - Lecco
Lecco is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Desenzano Calvina · 0.5 goals / match - Lecco
Desenzano Calvina scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Lecco scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Desenzano Calvina keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Desenzano Calvina
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Desenzano Calvina · 1.5 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Desenzano Calvina - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Desenzano Calvina
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Desenzano Calvina | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.08 | ▼ 0.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 55% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Desenzano CalvinaGoalFilippo Liberati
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Desenzano Calvina 1:3 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
Desenzano Calvina score 0.75 goals per game on average and Lecco 0.25. The Serie C Group A average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Desenzano Calvina's matches and 0% of Lecco's.
What form are Desenzano Calvina and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Desenzano Calvina have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Lecco 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.