Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Detroit City FC played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Detroit City FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Detroit City FC scores 1.53 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.53 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Detroit City FC 53%, Las Vegas Lights 80%. Over 2.5: Detroit City FC 53%, Las Vegas Lights 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Detroit City FC has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.32. Detroit City FC: 14.1 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 10.7.
Match halves
Detroit City FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Detroit City FC: 76-90+ (7 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Detroit City FC is a clear favorite at home: they have an 86% win rate and 0% losses at home, averaging 1.71 goals scored and only 0.43 conceded per match, which translates to a +9 home goal difference. Las Vegas Lights as visitors have only a 25% away win rate, concede on average 2.38 goals per away match and have a -5 away goal difference, with 0% clean sheets on the road. Creation quality also favors Detroit: home xG averages 1.77 versus 1.25 xG for the visitors, and shots on target are 5.14 vs 3.25 per match, despite Las Vegas having a higher conversion (18% vs 11%). Form confirms the hosts’ advantage — Detroit collects 2.6 points per match in the last 5 outings (4 wins and 1 draw, 12 goals in the last 5), while Las Vegas averages 1.8 points (3 wins and 2 losses, 10 goals). Therefore I forecast a Detroit win with probabilities of approximately 68% for a home win, 20% for a draw and 12% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The Both Teams To Score scenario is strongly supported by the visitors' form: Las Vegas Lights have 100% BTTS on the season and 100% in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per match. Detroit City have 57% season BTTS and 60% BTTS in the last 5, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00 on the season, but in the last 5 they raised their scoring average to 2.4 with 0.8 conceded. xG and shot stats confirm both sides create chances: last 5 matches xG is 1.86 for the home team vs 1.77 for the away team, with average shots 11.86 vs 9.75 and shots on target 4.0 vs 3.25. Additionally, Las Vegas have not kept a single clean sheet this season (0% clean sheets) and have 88% of matches over 2.5 goals, which significantly increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on these specific figures I assign 85% to BTTS=Yes and 15% to BTTS=No, therefore the best pick is "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total xG around 2.72: Detroit 1.47 vs Las Vegas 1.25. This estimate derives from combining attack and defense xG (Detroit xG_for 1.39 vs Las Vegas xG_against 1.54 → ~1.47 for the home side; Las Vegas xG_for 1.25 vs Detroit xG_against 1.25 → 1.25 for the away side). Seasonal indicators show strong goal tendencies — Las Vegas has 88% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Detroit 43%, and in the last 5 matches Detroit Over2.5 is 60% versus 100% for Las Vegas. Additionally Las Vegas records BTTS in 100% of fixtures (Detroit 57%), scores on average 1.75 goals with a conversion rate of 18% versus Detroit 1.29 goals and 11% conversion, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on this the best signal is the 2.5 line for Over — I rate Over2.5 at ~63% (with Over1.5 82% and Over3.5 31%), because Las Vegas’ high frequency of >2.5 matches and Detroit’s attacking form in the last 5 games provide strong momentum for a higher-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most common — Detroit were level at the break in 71% of their home matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 71.0) and on average score 0.86 goals by half-time while conceding 0.57 (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.86; concededAVGHT_home = 0.57), which indicates a high probability of a stalemate after 45 minutes. Overall Detroit are stronger: they average 1.57 points per home game (seasonPPG_home = 1.57) and win 43% of matches (winPercentage_home = 43.0), whereas Las Vegas manage just 0.88 points per away game, suffer 63% defeats and concede 2.38 goals per match on average (seasonPPG_away = 0.88; losePercentage_away = 63.0; seasonConcededAVG_away = 2.38). The second half favors decisive action — Las Vegas have over 0.5 goals after the break in 100% of games and score on average 1.25 second-half goals while also conceding 1.38 (over05_2hg_percentage_away = 100.0; scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.25; conceded_2hg_avg_away = 1.38), so goals after the break and a potential turnaround by the hosts can be expected. On that basis I assign the highest probability to the scenario draw at half-time and Detroit winning full-time (X/1 = 32%), followed by draw/draw (X/X = 28%) and home leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1 = 23%), while variants with the visitors leading at half-time are assessed as practically zero (trailingAtHT_home = 0.0); therefore I pick X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Detroit City FC | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Detroit City FC is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Detroit City FC · 1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Detroit City FC is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Detroit City FC · 1.73 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Detroit City FC scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Detroit City FC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Detroit City FC
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Detroit City FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Detroit City FC
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Detroit City FC | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Detroit City FC 0 - 1 - 0 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished Detroit City FC 0:1 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Detroit City FC score 1.53 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.53. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Detroit City FC's matches and 80% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are Detroit City FC and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games Detroit City FC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
The statistical background for Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.