Diamond Harbour vs Sreenidi Deccan: match statistics
Diamond Harbour vs Sreenidi Deccan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Diamond Harbour played Sreenidi Deccan in I-League (India). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Diamond Harbour: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Sreenidi Deccan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Diamond Harbour scores 2.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Sreenidi Deccan scores 1.20 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Diamond Harbour 70%, Sreenidi Deccan 60%. Over 2.5: Diamond Harbour 60%, Sreenidi Deccan 40%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Diamond Harbour: 10.6 shots per match, Sreenidi Deccan: 11.5.
Match halves
Diamond Harbour: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.70. Sreenidi Deccan: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Diamond Harbour: 76-90+ (8 goals). Sreenidi Deccan: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
I-League: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Diamond Harbour win; the hosts top the table (position 1) and have won their last 5 matches, averaging 3 points per match in that period. Their attack is the decisive advantage: Diamond Harbour have scored 24 goals this season and 17 in the last 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per home game, while Sreenidi Deccan have 12 goals this season and only 5 in the last 5 matches and average 1.0 goal on the road. The hosts average 12.5 shots per match with a 20% home conversion rate (translating to 2.5 goals), whereas the visitors average 10 shots with a 10% conversion (≈1.0 goal); additionally Diamond Harbour control possession more (56% vs 51%), which supports chance creation. Defensively the hosts concede 1.25 goals per home match and have no clean sheets (0%), while Sreenidi keep a clean sheet in 40% of away games; nonetheless the hosts outperform their xG (2.5 goals vs xG 1.67), and the visitors have an away xG of 1.45 but actually score only 1.0 goal, indicating lower opponent efficiency. Considering form (5 wins), a clear superiority in quantity and quality of chances and a doubled shot conversion rate (20% vs 10%), I tip Diamond Harbour to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Main signals favor BTTS - Yes: Diamond Harbour has a seasonal BTTS rate of 80% and 80% in the last 5 matches (17 scored and 8 conceded, averaging 3.4 scored and 1.6 conceded), while Sreenidi Deccan has a seasonal BTTS of 40% but 60% in the last 5 matches (5 scored and 5 conceded, averaging 1.0 and 1.0). League context supports this — league average BTTS is 63% and average goals per match 2.96, and both teams have xG of 1.58 (home) and 1.45 (away) with xG against of 1.04 and 1.36, indicating both sides create and allow chances. Additionally, Diamond averages 13 shots and 4.6 on target per match with an 11% conversion, and Sreenidi 10 shots and 5.2 on target with a 10% conversion, increasing the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Counterarguments to 'No Goal' are that the hosts have only 20% clean sheets this season (guests 40%), but recent form narrows the visitors' advantage — Sreenidi concedes an average of 1.0 goal in their last 5 matches. Considering the strong home signals (80% seasonal BTTS and 17 goals in 5 matches), the league tendency of 63% and the visitors' last 5 matches, I assess 72% for 'Yes' and 28% for 'No' as the most consistent forecast.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are derived from both teams' xG: home 1.47 (attacking xG 1.58 vs opponent's average xG conceded 1.36), away 1.25 (attacking xG 1.45 vs xG conceded to the home side 1.04), giving a combined total of 2.72 goals. Season-long stats support the Over: Diamond Harbour have 80% of matches over 1.5 goals, Sreenidi Deccan 60%, with an arithmetic mean of 70%; additionally the league averages 2.96 goals per game. A strong boost comes from the home form — in the last 5 matches they scored an average of 3.4 goals (17 goals in 5 matches) and have 80% Over 2.5 occurrences in their last 5, which increases the chance of at least 2 goals in the match. The 2.5 line is moderately favored (I estimate Over 2.5 at 66%) because the expected 2.72>2.5 and 80% of the home matches featured goals from both sides (away goals 40%, league 63%), whereas Over 3.5 is unlikely given season values of 20%/0%. Therefore the best and strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5 (high 90% probability) as a safe selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Diamond Harbour led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%) and average 0.8 goals by half-time, while Sreenidi Deccan average 0.0 goals by half-time, so the hosts are favorites to be leading after 45 minutes. In their last 5 matches the hosts have won 5 of 5 (100%) and score an average of 3.4 goals per match, whereas the visitors have a 40% win rate and 1.0 goals per match in that period, reinforcing the hosts’ advantage for the Full-Time result. The hosts’ xG is 1.58 versus the visitors’ 1.45, and xG against is 1.04 vs 1.36, suggesting Diamond Harbour create better chances and have more stable defence. The visitors, however, score more often in the second half (on average 1.0 goals vs the hosts’ 0.6 in the second half), so turnaround scenarios are possible, but the strongest single signal from the data is 1/1 (lead at the break and host to win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Diamond Harbour | Sreenidi Deccan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Diamond Harbour is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Diamond Harbour · 1.6 pts / match - Sreenidi Deccan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Diamond Harbour is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
2.4 goals / match - Diamond Harbour · 1.2 goals / match - Sreenidi Deccan
Sreenidi Deccan is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Diamond Harbour · 0.9 goals / match - Sreenidi Deccan
Diamond Harbour scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Sreenidi Deccan keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Sreenidi Deccan scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Diamond Harbour keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Diamond Harbour
Over / Under - Sreenidi Deccan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diamond Harbour is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Diamond Harbour · 1.4 pts / match - Sreenidi Deccan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Diamond Harbour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sreenidi Deccan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Diamond Harbour
Sreenidi Deccan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (I-League).
Teams vs league
| Diamond Harbour | Liga | Sreenidi Deccan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Diamond Harbour 0 - 0 - 1 Sreenidi Deccan. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Diamond Harbour vs Sreenidi Deccan?
The I-League match finished Diamond Harbour 1:2 Sreenidi Deccan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Diamond Harbour vs Sreenidi Deccan?
Diamond Harbour score 2.40 goals per game on average and Sreenidi Deccan 1.20. The I-League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Diamond Harbour's matches and 60% of Sreenidi Deccan's.
What form are Diamond Harbour and Sreenidi Deccan in?
Over the last 5 games Diamond Harbour have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Sreenidi Deccan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Diamond Harbour vs Sreenidi Deccan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.