Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou: match statistics
Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Digenis Morphou played AE Zakakiou in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Digenis Morphou: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. AE Zakakiou: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Digenis Morphou scores 1.57 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. AE Zakakiou scores 1.11 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Digenis Morphou 46%, AE Zakakiou 50%. Over 2.5: Digenis Morphou 57%, AE Zakakiou 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Digenis Morphou has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.12. Digenis Morphou: 8.3 shots per match, AE Zakakiou: 5.4.
Match halves
Digenis Morphou: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. AE Zakakiou: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Digenis Morphou: 61-75 (14 goals). AE Zakakiou: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Digenis Morphou sit 8th versus AE Zakakiou's 15th and have scored 44 goals this season compared to the visitors' 31; hosts average 1.36 goals at home while guests average 0.79 on the road. Hosts create more opportunities: 11 shots and 3.75 on target per home match versus 7.22 shots and 2.67 on target for the away side, with average xG 1.37 vs 0.99 and a higher conversion rate of 14% vs 5%. Defensively AE Zakakiou underperform — they concede 1.86 goals away on average and have xG against of 1.99; in the last 5 matches they conceded 13 goals versus the hosts' 6, and they fail to score in 57% of away games (hosts 29%). In favour of the visitors is short-term offensive form: 8 goals in the last 5 matches versus 2 for Digenis and 1.2 points per game in the last five fixtures compared to 0.8 for the hosts. Considering seasonal advantages in possession (51% vs 41%), number and quality of chances (xG) and significantly better conversion, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast the 'No' scenario (both teams not to score) is more likely: approximately 58% vs 42% for BTTS. Digenis as home side averages 1.43 goals per game (44 goals this season), registers 4.2 shots on target per match and has a 12% conversion rate, while AE Zakakiou concedes on average 1.86 goals per game (51 conceded) — this favors the hosts finding the net at least once. AE Zakakiou, however, has low offensive efficiency this season: 0.79 goals per game (31 goals this season) and only 5% conversion, which limits the probability of the visitors scoring. Short-term signals are mixed: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 2 goals (0.4 per match) with BTTS in 20% of games, and the visitors scored 8 goals (1.6 per match) with 60% BTTS, but season metrics (home BTTS 64% vs away BTTS 36%) and a simple Poisson model (~42% BTTS using seasonal averages) give the edge to the 'No' outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high season share of matches over 1.5 goals: home 79% and away 79%, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. xG analysis shows the home side has xG_for = 1.23, while opponents generate on average 1.99 xG against them (modelled ~1.61 xG for the home team); the away side has xG_for = 0.99 and the home team generates 1.48 xG against them (modelled ~1.24 xG for the away team). Averaging these modelled xG with season goals per game (1.43 for home and 0.79 for away) I estimate expected goals of ~1.55 for the home team and ~1.00 for the away team, total ~2.55. A Poisson model for a total mean of 2.55 yields a probability of over 1.5 goals of about 72% and over 2.5 of about 47%; additionally, the away team scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6/match), which increases the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 goals. Therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side 'Over') as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 is roughly even (~48% Over), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~25%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
By half-time the home side score on average 0.93 goals versus 0.50 for the away side (scoredAVGHT_home 0.93 vs scoredAVGHT_away 0.5), which in a Poisson model yields approximately a 43% probability of the home team leading at the break, ~36% for a draw and ~21% for the away team leading. For the full match xG favors the home team: home attacking xG 1.23 vs 0.99 for the visitors, and after accounting for xG against (1.48 for the home side, 1.99 for the away side) the estimated final xG are ~1.61 (home) versus ~1.24 (away), which the model translates to about a 45% chance of a home win, ~25% for a draw and ~30% for an away win. If the home team leads by 1 at half-time (a scenario occurring in ~27.8% of cases), the second half with expected goals of ~0.68 for the home team and ~0.735 for the away team gives the home side ~66.8% probability of seeing the win through and only ~10.5% risk of a turnaround. Overall the greatest probabilistic mass is on the scenario home leads at half-time and wins the match (1/1) — in our model this is 34%; other notable scenarios are half-time draw and full-time draw (X/X 15%), half-time draw and away win (X/2 12%) and the away team maintaining their lead to the end (2/2 15%). On this basis I select HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AE Zakakiou is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Digenis Morphou · 1.2 pts / match - AE Zakakiou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Digenis Morphou is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Digenis Morphou · 1.11 goals / match - AE Zakakiou
Digenis Morphou is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Digenis Morphou · 1.82 goals / match - AE Zakakiou
Digenis Morphou scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while AE Zakakiou keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
AE Zakakiou scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Digenis Morphou keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Digenis Morphou
Over / Under - AE Zakakiou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Digenis Morphou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AE Zakakiou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Digenis Morphou
AE Zakakiou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Digenis Morphou | Liga | AE Zakakiou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.72 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AE ZakakiouGoalTheodoros Iosifidis
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Digenis Morphou 1 - 0 - 1 AE Zakakiou. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou?
The Second Division match finished Digenis Morphou 1:1 AE Zakakiou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Digenis Morphou and AE Zakakiou?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Digenis Morphou won 1, AE Zakakiou won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou?
Digenis Morphou score 1.57 goals per game on average and AE Zakakiou 1.11. The Second Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Digenis Morphou's matches and 50% of AE Zakakiou's.
What form are Digenis Morphou and AE Zakakiou in?
Over the last 5 games Digenis Morphou have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AE Zakakiou 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou?
The statistical background for Digenis Morphou vs AE Zakakiou — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.