Digenis Ypsonas vs AEL: match statistics
Digenis Ypsonas vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Digenis Ypsonas played AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Digenis Ypsonas: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. AEL: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Digenis Ypsonas scores 1.10 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. AEL scores 1.23 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Digenis Ypsonas 33%, AEL 40%. Over 2.5: Digenis Ypsonas 43%, AEL 53%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Digenis Ypsonas has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.17. Digenis Ypsonas: 9.1 shots per match, AEL: 8.8.
Match halves
Digenis Ypsonas: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77. AEL: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Digenis Ypsonas: 76-90+ (13 goals). AEL: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Digenis Ypsonas holds a clear form advantage: won 4 of the last 5 matches (4W, 1D) and scored 11 goals in those five games (avg. 2.2 goals per match), while AEL’s record is 2W-0D-3L with 7 goals (1.4 per match) in their last five. The home side’s defense looks more solid — Digenis conceded only 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 per match) and concedes on average 1.2 goals per home game, whereas AEL concedes 1.5 goals on the road and shipped 7 goals (1.4) in their last five. Hosts create more chances (avg. 8.8 shots and 3.07 on target per home match vs. 7.07 shots and 3.07 on target for AEL away) and have a higher home goals average 1.33 vs 1.07 for AEL; xG per match shows a slight edge 1.14 vs 1.02. Additionally, Digenis have been collecting more points recently (2.6 points per match in the last 5) while AEL have a negative away goal difference (-6 on the road) and 43% of away matches without scoring. Considering these numbers, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No Goal (62% vs 38% for BTTS - Yes) because AEL struggle to score away — averaging 1.07 goals per game and failing to score in 43% of matches this season. Digenis show excellent home defensive form: 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches (2.2 per game) and only 2 conceded (0.4 per game), which will make it difficult for the visitors to respond. Hosts create more chances (avg 10.38 shots and 3.38 on target at home with xG_for 1.30), while AEL manage only 7.07 shots and xG_for 1.02, despite allowing xG_against 1.53 and conceding 1.5 goals per game on the season. Seasonal BTTS rates (50% for Digenis vs 29% for AEL) and the league BTTS rate of 42% do not clearly support a both-teams-to-score outcome, hence a stronger signal for 'No Goal'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of 2.46 expected goals: 1.42 for Digenis Ypsonas and 1.04 for AEL. The calculation is based in part on xG: Digenis xG_for 1.30 versus AEL xG_against 1.53, and AEL xG_for 1.02 versus Digenis xG_against 1.06. Both teams have high percentages of matches with over 1.5 goals: home 75% and away 79%, and in the last 5 fixtures Digenis averaged 2.2 goals (11 goals), which increases the likelihood of at least two strikes. Defensive stats show AEL concedes 1.5 goals per match on the season, while the hosts conceded only 0.4 goals in their last 5 games, suggesting an open match with goal-scoring opportunities. The 2.5 threshold is more balanced — season over25 is 50% for the hosts and 57% for the visitors, and the projected 2.46 goals gives Over 2.5 a moderate edge; the strongest and most confident signal, however, is for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home lead at half-time and win at full-time) because Digenis Ypsonas is in clear form: in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw (80% wins) and led at the break in 60% of those games. Over the season the hosts score an average of 1.38 goals per match versus AEL’s 1.07, have a higher xG 1.30 vs 1.02, and register more shots (10.38 vs 7.07) and more shots on target (3.38 vs 3.07). Digenis are also strong after the break – averaging 1.06 goals in the second half, with 75% of their games featuring a second-half goal, and they have scored 7 goals in minutes 46–60 versus AEL’s 1, which suggests decisive action after the break. AEL concedes an average 1.53 xG to opponents and have lost 60% of their last 5 matches, so despite the visitors having led at half-time more often this season (43% vs the hosts’ 19%), current form and the hosts’ superiority in chance creation favor Digenis taking the lead at half-time and holding on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Digenis Ypsonas | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Digenis Ypsonas is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Digenis Ypsonas · 1.4 pts / match - AEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Digenis Ypsonas · 1.23 goals / match - AEL
Digenis Ypsonas is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Digenis Ypsonas · 1.37 goals / match - AEL
Digenis Ypsonas scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
AEL scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Digenis Ypsonas keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Digenis Ypsonas
Over / Under - AEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Digenis Ypsonas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Digenis Ypsonas
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Digenis Ypsonas | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.60 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Digenis Ypsonas 1 - 0 - 1 AEL. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Digenis Ypsonas vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Digenis Ypsonas 1:1 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Digenis Ypsonas and AEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Digenis Ypsonas won 1, AEL won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Digenis Ypsonas vs AEL?
Digenis Ypsonas score 1.10 goals per game on average and AEL 1.23. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Digenis Ypsonas's matches and 40% of AEL's.
What form are Digenis Ypsonas and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Digenis Ypsonas have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AEL 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Digenis Ypsonas vs AEL?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


