Dijon vs Saint-Étienne: match statistics

Saint-Étienne top the table with a perfect record of 3 wins, while Dijon are still without a victory after three rounds, with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The visitors are in excellent form, having won five consecutive matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding just 4 during that run, while Dijon have scored 7 goals in their last five games. Saint-Étienne have won 100% of their away matches so far, averaging 3 goals scored and no goals conceded per game. At home, Dijon have recorded a high average xG of 1.98 and 66% possession, yet they are still without a goal despite averaging 16 shots and 9 shots on target per match. The visitors’ 21% conversion rate and highly reliable defence point towards another victory for the league leaders.

Saint-Étienne have presented a very strong defensive profile in the season data: they have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches and have yet to concede, while Dijon have scored an average of 3.5 goals at home. However, the hosts have genuine offensive arguments, creating an average of 2.07 xG and recording 7 shots on target per match, while Saint-Étienne allow opponents 1.40 xG. Crucially for the BTTS - No pick, BTTS has occurred in 0% of the visitors’ matches so far, and all of their games with at least three goals ended with one side failing to score. In their last five matches, Dijon have scored an average of 1.4 goals, while Saint-Étienne have conceded just 0.8, which still supports a scenario in which the hosts may fail to score. The visitors’ attacking form is excellent, with an average of 3.6 goals in their last five appearances, so a one-sided goal contribution from them appears more likely than both teams finding the net.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have surpassed this line in 100% of their league matches to date. Saint-Étienne are in excellent form, scoring 18 goals in their last five matches—an average of 3.6 per game—while Dijon have conceded 5 goals over the same period. Dijon also create plenty of chances, averaging 20 shots and 7 shots on target per game, with an average xG of 2.07. However, the defenses limit the outlook for higher lines, with average xG conceded standing at just 0.55 for Dijon and 1.40 for Saint-Étienne. The expected total of 2.75 goals supports Over 1.5 more clearly than the riskier Over 2.5.

Saint-Étienne are in significantly stronger recent form, having won all of their last five matches, while Dijon have secured just one victory, alongside three draws and one defeat. Over this period, the visitors have averaged 3.6 goals per match compared with Dijon’s 1.4, and have scored an average of 2.0 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.25 for the hosts. Saint-Étienne led at the break in 100% of their last five matches, whereas Dijon were level at half-time in as many as 75% of their games and did not lose the first half. The visitors’ advantage continues after the interval, as they average 1.6 goals in the second half, while Dijon concede 0.75 goals after the break. Although Dijon have the higher home xG average, 2.07 compared with 1.57, the visitors’ five-match winning streak and significantly superior goalscoring output support an HT/FT prediction of Saint-Étienne leading at half-time and winning at full-time: 2/2.