Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi: match statistics

Dila hold a slight home advantage: they win 45% of their home matches, while Torpedo Kutaisi win just 30% of their away fixtures and lose 40% of them. The hosts concede an average of 0.91 goals per home game, with an against xG of 1.14—clearly lower than the 1.46 conceded by Torpedo away from home. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches and collected 1.8 points per game, but the visitors have scored 11 goals during this period compared with Dila’s 6, increasing their chances of finding the net. However, Dila create chances worth 1.45 xG at home and record 4.09 shots on target per match, while Torpedo have kept clean sheets in just 20% of their away fixtures. A closely contested match is expected, but Dila’s more solid home defensive record points to a narrow victory for the hosts.

Seasonal data slightly support BTTS - Yes: Dila have recorded this outcome in 64% of their matches, while Torpedo Kutaisi have done so in 50%, against a league average of 57%. The hosts score an average of 1.91 goals per match, while Torpedo average 1.30, with their expected goals standing at 1.55 and 1.35 respectively—figures that indicate genuine attacking potential from both sides. Torpedo concede an average of 1.00 goal and keep a clean sheet in only 20% of matches, so Dila should have favorable conditions to find the net. The visitors are in better scoring form, having netted 11 goals across their last 5 appearances—2.2 per match—while Dila have conceded 8 goals during the same period. The main risk to the pick is the hosts’ weaker recent run, with BTTS landing in just 20% of their last five matches. However, Torpedo’s 60% rate in this metric and their strong current attacking output tilt the forecast toward BTTS - Yes.

Dila averages 1.91 goals per game this season, but that figure has dropped to 1.20 over the last five matches, limiting the prospects of a very high-scoring outcome. Torpedo Kutaisi have been more effective recently, scoring 2.20 goals per game across their last five fixtures, but their average xG of 1.65 and 1.60 xG conceded point more towards a match in the 2–3 goal range. During the season, both teams had matches with a maximum of three goals in 73% and 80% of cases, respectively, while Over 3.5 goals landed in only 27% and 20% of their games. The Under 3.5 goals outlook is further supported by the fact that neither side conceded more than 1.18 goals per game on average over the full season. The 2.80-goal projection gives the Under 3.5 side the edge, while preserving a realistic chance of a 2:1 or 1:2 result.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Dila victory at full-time, as the hosts score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while Torpedo score 1.30 away from home. Dila often starts cautiously, drawing at half-time in 45% of its matches, with its first-half games producing an average of just 1.27 goals. At the same time, the hosts have a clear defensive advantage in the first half, conceding an average of 0.45 goals compared with Torpedo’s 0.70; Torpedo were behind at the break in as many as 50% of their away matches. After the interval, Dila increases its average goals scored to 1.09, while Torpedo, despite good attacking form in their last five matches, in which they scored 2.2 goals per game, also conceded as many as 1.8. The hosts’ advantage in chance quality is moderate but noticeable: their average xG stands at 1.55 compared with Torpedo’s 1.35, supporting a scenario in which the match is decided only in the second half.