Dinamo Batumi vs Spaeri: match statistics

Dinamo Batumi sit clearly higher in the home table, ranking 4th, while Spaeri are 9th in away matches. The hosts are in excellent form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five games, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 3, whereas Spaeri have collected only 4 points over the same period and allowed opponents to score 11 times. At home, Dinamo average 1.8 goals per match with a 15% shot-conversion rate, while the visitors score just once on average away from home and convert 9% of their attempts. The quality of chances is similar, with Dinamo’s xG at 1.43 and Spaeri’s at 1.42, but the Batumi side are much more effective at turning their advantage into goals. Spaeri draw in as many as 45% of their away matches, increasing the likelihood of a tight result, but the hosts’ winning run and the visitors’ poor recent defensive record point towards a Dinamo victory.

Over the long term, both teams frequently finish matches with a goal on each side: Dinamo Batumi’s BTTS rate stands at 73%, while Spaeri’s is 64%, compared with the league average of 56%. The hosts average 1.73 goals per game, and their very low clean-sheet rate of just 9% clearly increases Spaeri’s chances of scoring. The visitors have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 per game, and recorded BTTS in 100% of those fixtures. Dinamo have been significantly tighter defensively lately, conceding only 3 goals in their last five appearances with an xG against of 0.72, which reduces confidence in the pick. Despite this improvement in the hosts’ defence, Spaeri’s attacking xG of 1.42 and Dinamo’s season average of 1.45 marginally support the more likely scenario of both teams scoring—BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal—rather than BTTS - No, which means at least one team fails to score and does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The Over 1.5 goals line was covered in 91% of Dinamo Batumi’s matches and 73% of Spaeri’s, providing a very strong foundation for at least two goals. Dinamo have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 per game, while Spaeri have netted 11 during the same period but conceded as many. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts average 1.45, and the visitors 1.42, while both defenses allow an average of 1.56 xG. Over 2.5 goals is less clear-cut, despite the line being surpassed in 60% and 80% of their respective last five matches. The safest choice remains Over 1.5 goals, as the season data and current form clearly reduce the risk of a result with a maximum of one goal.

Dinamo Batumi are in clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Spaeri have lost 3 of their 5 matches and allow opponents to score 2.2 goals per game. The strongest signal concerns the first half, as Dinamo have led at the break in all of their last 5 appearances, scoring an average of 1.8 goals in that period and conceding none. Across the season as a whole, the hosts have also taken the lead at half-time more often, doing so in 55% of matches compared with just 9% for Spaeri. After the break, the visitors keep a clean sheet in 64% of matches, which limits confidence in a high-scoring outcome, but their recent defensive record is very poor. The most likely scenario is therefore Dinamo leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage until the end: 1/1.