Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al: match statistics
Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Samarqand played Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Dinamo Samarqand: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mash'al: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Samarqand scores 1.40 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.30 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Samarqand 100%, Mash'al 30%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Samarqand 90%, Mash'al 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Samarqand has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.05. Dinamo Samarqand: 11.1 shots per match, Mash'al: 8.5.
Match halves
Dinamo Samarqand: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Samarqand: 0-15 (4 goals). Mash'al: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Samarqand holds a clear offensive and game-control advantage: at home they have scored 14 goals this season (1.4 per match) and average 4.2 shots on target with 51% possession, whereas Mash'al has only 3 goals this season (0.6 away) plus 2.2 shots on target and 35% possession. The difference in chance quality is supported by xG — Dinamo’s home xG is 1.34 versus Mash'al’s away xG of 0.87, indicating more genuine scoring opportunities for the hosts. Defensively the hosts also outperform: Dinamo concedes 1.6 goals per home match on average (xG against 1.52), while Mash'al concedes 2.2 goals on the road (xG against 2.05) and has not recorded a single clean sheet away. Recent form over the last five matches confirms Dinamo’s edge — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (PPG 0.8) compared to Mash'al, who have lost all 5 recent matches and have 0 points. Considering finishing efficiency (1.4 vs 0.6 goals), superior xG (1.34 vs 0.87) and home stability, Dinamo is the clear favorite with a high probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes with probability 70% vs 30% for No. Neither team has recorded a clean sheet this season (0% for home and 0% for away), and the league percentage of matches with goals from both sides is 54%, favoring a Goal/Goal scenario. Dinamo has BTTS 100% in the last 5 matches (5/5), averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 2.2, and has 14 goals for and 20 against this season; Mash'al has season BTTS 60% but has scored only 3 goals this season and 2 in the last 5 (0.4 per match). xG analysis shows the home side creates 1.23 xG vs a Mash'al defense allowing 2.05 xG, while the visitors have 0.87 xG against a Dinamo defense allowing 1.46 xG, which together suggests realistic chances for goals from both sides.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals at 1.64 for Dinamo Samarqand and 1.17 for Mash'al (total 2.81); I calculated this as the average of offensive xG and defensive xG: (1.23 + 2.05)/2 = 1.64 and (0.87 + 1.46)/2 = 1.17. Strong signal for Over 1.5 stems from Mash'al having season Over1.5 = 100% and Dinamo = 40%, and Dinamo averaging 3.8 goals per match in the last 5 (8 scored, 11 conceded). At the 2.5 line the picture is more balanced: seasonally Dinamo has 0% Over2.5, Mash'al 80%, but in the last 5 Dinamo had 100% of matches over 2.5 and our expected 2.81 exceeds the league average of 2.61, so I assign a moderate edge to Over 2.5. Signals for 3.5 are weak — season Over3.5 for both teams = 0% and season data do not indicate frequent 3.5+ games, therefore Under 3.5 is more likely. The strongest data-driven signal is Over 1.5 (estimated 83%), so I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the draw at half-time and Dinamo to win the match (X/1) as the strongest signal. Both teams frequently draw at the break in recent matches: the home side had a half-time draw in 60% of their last 5 games, and Mash'al in 80% (last5_drawingAtHTPercentage_overall_home 60.0, last5_drawingAtHTPercentage_overall_away 80.0), which increases the likelihood of an HT draw. After the break Dinamo’s superiority is evident in the numbers — average xG for the home team is 1.23 versus 0.87 for the visitors, the home side averages 10 shots per match against 7 for the opponents, and in the last 5 matches they scored an average of 1.6 goals versus 0.4 for Mash'al (xg_for_avg_home 1.23 vs xg_for_avg_away 0.87; shotsAVG_home 10.0 vs shotsAVG_away 7.0; last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_home 1.6 vs last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_away 0.4). Additionally, Mash'al’s defense performs worse — the away side concedes an average of 2.05 xG and 2.2 goals per match on the season (xg_against_avg_away 2.05, seasonConcededAVG_away 2.2), and their last five matches show a 0% win rate and 100% losses, which reduces the probability of scenarios where they win. Therefore I assigned X/1 a 36% likelihood as the top signal, second is X/X at 22%, while combinations with the visitors leading at the break I assess collectively as unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Samarqand | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Samarqand is 367% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand · 0.3 goals / match - Mash'al
Mash'al is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Dinamo Samarqand · 1.8 goals / match - Mash'al
Dinamo Samarqand scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Mash'al scores in 30% of matches (3 of 10 matches), while Dinamo Samarqand keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Samarqand
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Samarqand is 275% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Dinamo Samarqand · 0.4 pts / match - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Samarqand - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Samarqand
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Samarqand | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 90% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dinamo Samarqand 2 - 0 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Dinamo Samarqand 3:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Samarqand and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Samarqand won 2, Mash'al won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al?
Dinamo Samarqand score 1.40 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.30. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Dinamo Samarqand's matches and 30% of Mash'al's.
What form are Dinamo Samarqand and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Samarqand have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mash'al 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al?
The statistical background for Dinamo Samarqand vs Mash'al — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.