Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb play Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 17:15. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Gorica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.58 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.11 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 53%, Gorica 50%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 69%, Gorica 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.30. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.6 shots per match, Gorica: 10.8.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.47. Gorica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (23 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.2 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 132% better for: goals scored per match.
2.58 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.11 goals / match - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.33 goals / match - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 44% (16 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under — Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.14 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.44 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 - 1 Gorica. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 4:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 2, Gorica won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.58 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.11. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 50% of Gorica's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Gorica 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The statistical background for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.