Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Gorica: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.26 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.09 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 48%, Gorica 57%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 65%, Gorica 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.40. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.4 shots per match, Gorica: 11.9.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 1.26. Gorica: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (15 goals). Gorica: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the decided favorite for this meeting, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 82% home wins. The hosts demonstrate dominance in home matches, scoring an average of 2.55 goals with only 0.73 conceded, which translates to a +20 goal difference. Gorica performs significantly worse in away matches, winning only 27% of encounters and conceding an average of 1.36 goals per game with a goal difference of -3. Dinamo's advantage is also visible in xG statistics (2.1 vs 1.48) and possession (58% vs 45%), indicating game control. Additionally, Gorica fails to score in 36% of away matches, which, given the hosts' solid defense, makes a Dinamo Zagreb victory highly probable. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks for the hosts, who are earning more points per game.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.4 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
2.26 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.09 goals / match - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.39 goals / match - Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Gorica scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.48 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 - 1 Gorica. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 4:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 1, Gorica won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.26 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.09. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 57% of Gorica's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Gorica 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
The statistical background for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.