Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb played Hajduk Split in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Hajduk Split: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.64 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Hajduk Split scores 1.64 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 55%, Hajduk Split 42%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 73%, Hajduk Split 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.79. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.8 shots per match, Hajduk Split: 14.7.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.45. Hajduk Split: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (21 goals). Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb are clear favorites: they sit 1st with 25 wins this season versus Hajduk’s 19, and have won 81% of home matches. The hosts’ offense is markedly superior — Dinamo have scored 87 goals this season and average 2.94 goals per home match, while Hajduk have 54 goals this season and average 1.69 on the road; in the last 5 matches Dinamo netted 12 goals versus the visitors’ 6. This is supported by xG and shot metrics: Dinamo’s average home xG is 2.10 versus Hajduk’s 1.71 xG away, and Dinamo average 7.13 shots on target compared to 4.88 for the visitors; conversion rate is 17% versus 12%. Defensively both teams concede on average 0.94 goals per game, but Dinamo allow only 0.88 xG at home versus 1.26 xG generated by Hajduk away, indicating lower risk from the hosts. Considering Dinamo’s 0% clean-sheet-less matches versus Hajduk’s 31% of away matches without scoring, and recent form points per game of 2.6 for Dinamo versus 1.6 for Hajduk, I forecast a 66% probability of a home win, 22% for a draw and 12% for a Hajduk victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS metrics indicate both teams are below the league average: Dinamo has 47% BTTS at home, Hajduk 38% away, versus a league 55%. However, Dinamo’s last 5 matches show BTTS at 80%, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.0 on average, while Hajduk’s last 5 show BTTS 40% with averages of 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Both sides generate xG above 1.7 (Dinamo xG_for 1.87 vs Hajduk 1.71) and record 6.06 and 4.88 shots on target respectively, but seasonally Dinamo concedes only 0.88 goals at home and Hajduk 0.94 away. Considering Dinamo’s clear recent opening up, yet strong seasonal clean sheet rates (41% Dinamo at home, 44% Hajduk away) and a league clean sheet frequency of 53%, I assess No BTTS (No Goal/clean sheet expected) as slightly more likely: 55% No BTTS vs 45% BTTS (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimate gives 1.57 for Dinamo (attacking xG 1.87 vs Hajduk’s conceded average 1.26) and 1.41 for Hajduk (attacking xG 1.71 vs Dinamo’s conceded average 1.11), totaling 2.98 goals. Dinamo averages 15.06 shots (6.06 on target) with an 11% conversion rate, while Hajduk averages 14.25 shots (4.88 on target) with a 12% conversion, supporting a combined expected xG close to 3.0. Seasonally 82% of Dinamo’s home matches and 75% of Hajduk’s away matches finish over 1.5 goals, so Over 1.5 has a high probability of ~80%. I assess Over 2.5 at about 57% (season rates: Dinamo 47% and Hajduk 44%, but Dinamo has 80% Over 2.5 in the last 5 games), whereas Over 3.5 is only ~35% (season rates 18% and 38%). The strongest signal is Over 1.5: the high combined xG of 2.98 and seasonal 82%/75% figures indicate a strong likelihood of at least 2 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I recommend 1/1 as the most likely scenario: Dinamo Zagreb led at the break in 8 matches (47% of all games), while Hajduk only in 6 matches (38%), suggesting a home advantage after 45 minutes. The hosts won 65% of home fixtures this season, and the visitors have a 50% win rate on the road; in the last 5 matches Dinamo won 80% of games, while Hajduk won only 40%, which supports maintaining the lead through full time. Additionally, Dinamo’s xG is 1.87 versus Hajduk’s 1.71, and average shots on target 6.06 vs 4.88 indicate greater expected threat from the hosts, increasing the chances of a win after 90 minutes. Supporting the likelihood of a lead at the break is Dinamo’s average first-half goals of 0.76 compared to Hajduk’s 0.69, and the fact that in the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 60% of games. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Dinamo leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.6 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
2.64 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.64 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 0.91 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 94% of matches (31 of 33 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Hajduk Split scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.21 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.64 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Hajduk Split
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 - 0 Hajduk Split. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 2:0 Hajduk Split. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 2, Hajduk Split won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.64 goals per game on average and Hajduk Split 1.64. The Prva HNL average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 42% of Hajduk Split's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Hajduk Split 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.