Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb played Osijek in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 7:0.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Osijek: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.52 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Osijek scores 0.81 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 52%, Osijek 41%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 70%, Osijek 37%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.49. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.8 shots per match, Osijek: 12.2.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.37. Osijek: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (16 goals). Osijek: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite: they sit 1st and have an 85% win rate at home, scoring an average of 2.77 goals and registering 7.08 SOT per match. In their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 18 goals (3.6 per game) and won all 5, averaging 3 points per match, while Osijek have only 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 per game) and 2 wins with PPG 1.6. Defensively Dinamo concedes 0.92 goals at home on average with xG against 0.89, whereas Osijek concede 1.54 goals away with xG against 1.6, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. The efficiency gap is clear: Dinamo convert 16% of their shots into goals at home and have 0% matches without scoring, while Osijek have only 8% conversion rate away and 23% of matches without a goal. The sum of these advantages (attack 2.77 vs 0.92, xG 2.11 vs 1.37 and dominance in SOT 7.08 vs 3.54) justifies a pick for the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back "No" (No BTTS) with approximately 65% confidence due to the home side’s advantage. Dinamo has a season BTTS rate of only 21% versus Osijek’s 62%, and at home keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches, scoring 68 and conceding 22 this season. In the last 5 matches Dinamo averages 3.6 goals (18 goals in last 5) and concedes 1.0, while Osijek scored 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 per match) and conceded 3 (0.6 per match), highlighting the visitors’ lower effectiveness. xG over the last 5 is 2.12 for Dinamo versus 1.39 for Osijek, with xG against 0.83 for the home side and 1.31 for the visitors; Dinamo is creating more chances despite a similar number of shots on target (3.36 vs 3.54). Considering Dinamo’s season-low BTTS 21%, 50% clean sheets at home, the hosts’ form WWWWW and Osijek’s recent 0.8 goals per game, a No BTTS scenario appears more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dinamo is in excellent form — in the last 5 matches they scored 18 goals (3.6 per game) with an average xG of 2.12, while Osijek scored 4 goals in their last 5 (0.8 per game) with xG 1.39. Season numbers emphasize the home advantage: Dinamo have 68 scored and 22 conceded this season, Osijek 22 scored and 36 conceded; season xG is 1.6 for Dinamo versus 1.37 for Osijek. Considering season xG and recent form, I project about 1.92 expected goals for Dinamo and 1.38 for Osijek, giving a total of 3.30 goals in the match — clearly above the 2.5 line. Although season Over2.5 stats show a low 21% for Dinamo, Dinamo’s last 5 matches had Over2.5 in 80% of cases, and the league average is 52% of matches over 2.5, so recent form and xG strongly argue for the over. On that basis I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal; I estimate probability of Over1.5 at 86%, Over2.5 at 67% (Under2.5 33%) and Over3.5 at 28%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dinamo has a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches it won 5 of 5 (100%) and held the lead at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), with an average of 2.0 goals scored by half-time and 3.6 goals per match. However, seasonally the home side led at the break in only 14% of matches and the visitors in 38%, indicating Dinamo’s current form (last 5) deviates from the seasonal trend. Situational statistics confirm Dinamo’s superiority: xG 1.60 versus 1.37 and on average 12.71 shots versus Osijek’s 11.62, while recent conversion yields a difference of 3.6 to 0.8 goals per match. Osijek in the last 5 matches led at the break only once (20%) and scored 0.2 goals by half-time, which hinders their ability to stage a quick turnaround; therefore the most likely scenario is Dinamo leading at half-time and carrying the win through to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.6 pts / match - Osijek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 211% better for: goals scored per match.
2.52 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 0.81 goals / match - Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.33 goals / match - Osijek
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
Osijek scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under - Osijek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.15 pts / match - Osijek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Osijek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Osijek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 51% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 26% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 0 - 0 Osijek. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 7:0 Osijek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Osijek?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 3, Osijek won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.52 goals per game on average and Osijek 0.81. The Prva HNL average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 41% of Osijek's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Osijek in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Osijek 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?
The statistical background for Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.