Diósgyőr vs Várda SE: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Diósgyőr is in 10th place, but they perform solidly at home with 44% draws and a positive goal difference (+4). Várda SE, despite a higher position in the table (7th place), has poor away form with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-7). Both teams have earned an identical number of points in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and have similar shooting efficiency. The hosts have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and a better xG ratio in home matches (1.36 vs the visitors' 1.22 away). Considering the high probability of draws for Diósgyőr at home and Várda's difficulties away, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Diósgyőr vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Diósgyőr played Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Diósgyőr: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Várda SE: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Diósgyőr scores 1.37 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Várda SE scores 1.26 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Diósgyőr 63%, Várda SE 42%. Over 2.5: Diósgyőr 63%, Várda SE 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Várda SE has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.25. Diósgyőr: 11.6 shots per match, Várda SE: 11.2.
Match halves
Diósgyőr: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. Várda SE: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Diósgyőr: 0-15 (5 goals). Várda SE: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Diósgyőr is in 10th place, but they perform solidly at home with 44% draws and a positive goal difference (+4). Várda SE, despite a higher position in the table (7th place), has poor away form with 44% losses and a negative goal difference (-7). Both teams have earned an identical number of points in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and have similar shooting efficiency. The hosts have an advantage in possession (52% vs 45%) and a better xG ratio in home matches (1.36 vs the visitors' 1.22 away). Considering the high probability of draws for Diósgyőr at home and Várda's difficulties away, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Diósgyőr | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Diósgyőr is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Diósgyőr · 1.26 goals / match - Várda SE
Diósgyőr scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Várda SE scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Diósgyőr · 1.16 pts / match - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Diósgyőr
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Diósgyőr | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.11 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 89% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Diósgyőr 0 - 0 - 1 Várda SE. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished Diósgyőr 1:1 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
Diósgyőr score 1.37 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.26. The NB I average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Diósgyőr's matches and 42% of Várda SE's.
What form are Diósgyőr and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games Diósgyőr have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Várda SE 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Diósgyőr vs Várda SE?
The statistical background for Diósgyőr vs Várda SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.