Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dire Dawa Kenema played Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.66 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dire Dawa Kenema 38%, Ethiopia Bunna 52%. Over 2.5: Dire Dawa Kenema 28%, Ethiopia Bunna 38%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.04. Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.6 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.0.
Match halves
Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.38. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (5 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethiopia Bunna are the favorites for this match: they sit 7th in the table versus Dire Dawa’s 16th and have a positive away goal differential (+3) while the hosts have -7 at home. Offensively the visitors have scored 33 goals this season and average 1.07 goals on the road, whereas Dire Dawa have 19 goals and 0.64 per home match; in the last 5 fixtures Bunna have netted 9 goals versus the hosts’ 3. Conversion rate is 16% for Bunna vs 9% for Dire Dawa, and the percentage of matches without scoring is 29% vs 57%, demonstrating a clear edge for the visitors in chance efficiency. Defensively the visitors concede 0.86 goals on average away, the hosts 1.14 at home, and Bunna have 43% clean sheets vs 36% for the hosts. Considering form and the specific numbers (goals, conversion and defensive stats), I estimate a 60% probability of an away win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes. Dire Dawa has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% versus Ethiopia Bunna’s 43%, with the league average at 42%, which favors both teams scoring. The strongest signal is the visitors’ form — Ethiopia Bunna have BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9 goals (avg 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded), while Dire Dawa have BTTS in 40% of their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.6 and 1.0). Over the season the home side average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded, the visitors 1.07 scored and 0.86 conceded, and total season tallies show 19-31 for the hosts and 33-33 for the visitors, indicating both teams regularly concede. Similar xG figures (1.27 vs 1.10 for attack and 1.29 vs 1.14 against) further confirm balanced creation and concession profiles, so I assess BTTS probability at 70% for Yes and 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG shows 1.27 for the home side and 1.10 for the away side, while comparison with xG against (1.14 for the away and 1.29 for the home) yields expected 1.21 goals for Dire Dawa and 1.20 for Ethiopia Bunna, totaling around 2.41 goals. Seasonal percentages of matches with Over 1.5 goals are 67% for hosts and 57% for visitors, which together with the expected total supports Over 1.5 (I estimate ~70%). Over 2.5 is a weaker signal: seasonal Over 2.5 rates are 40% (home) and 36% (away), and the xG model prices Over 2.5 at roughly 43%. Additionally, the away side has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 avg) and both teams scored in those five games, whereas the home side has scored 3 goals in the last 5 (0.6), which increases the probability of at least two goals. Considering the numbers (shots 8.13 vs 6.42, shots on target 3.13 vs 2.92, conversion rates 15%/16%), the safest and strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely outcome is a draw: hosts lead at the break in 40% of matches, but the visitors are level at half-time in 71% of their away games, favoring a draw at 45 minutes. After 90 minutes Ethiopia Bunna have the edge — averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.2 for Dire Dawa Kenema and a higher win rate (43% vs 33%), so the visitors win more often. In the second half the statistics clearly support the away side: they score an average of 0.57 goals and concede 0.36 (scored_2hg_avg_away = 0.57, conceded_2hg_avg_away = 0.36), while the hosts have a negative second-half goal difference (gd_2hg_home = -4) and only score 0.4, which increases the chance of a turnaround after the break. Additionally, in the visitors’ last five away matches at least one goal after the break was scored in 100% of cases (last5_over05_2hg_percentage_overall_away = 100), and the xG of both sides is similar (1.27 home vs 1.10 away), so the scenario Half-Time draw / Full-Time away win is the strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
0.66 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.14 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Dire Dawa Kenema is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.14 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.38 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.72 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dire Dawa Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 0:0 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.66 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 1.14. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 52% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The statistical background for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.