Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest with a slight preference for a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema is showing very poor home form – just a 22% win rate at their own ground and only 0.56 goals per game, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches (0.8 pts/game). Hadiya Hosaena boasts a better away record (38% wins, 50% clean sheets) and a more effective offense (0.75 goals/game away vs the hosts' 0.56 at home). However, the key factor is both teams' high draw percentages – 44% for the hosts in home matches and 38% for the visitors away. This, combined with Dire Dawa's poor scoring form (67% of home matches without a goal) and the guests' solid defense, makes the draw the most likely outcome. The slight xG advantage for the visitors (1.12 vs 1.02) and their better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game) give them a chance for a positive result, but their difficulties in scoring away from home level the chances.
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dire Dawa Kenema played Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Dire Dawa Kenema: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.53 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.94 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 56%. Over 2.5: Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 44%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.11 vs 0.95. Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.2 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.3.
Match halves
Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.35. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Dire Dawa Kenema: 76-90+ (3 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an evenly matched contest with a slight preference for a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema is showing very poor home form – just a 22% win rate at their own ground and only 0.56 goals per game, having failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 matches (0.8 pts/game). Hadiya Hosaena boasts a better away record (38% wins, 50% clean sheets) and a more effective offense (0.75 goals/game away vs the hosts' 0.56 at home). However, the key factor is both teams' high draw percentages – 44% for the hosts in home matches and 38% for the visitors away. This, combined with Dire Dawa's poor scoring form (67% of home matches without a goal) and the guests' solid defense, makes the draw the most likely outcome. The slight xG advantage for the visitors (1.12 vs 1.02) and their better form in the last 5 matches (1.4 pts/game) give them a chance for a positive result, but their difficulties in scoring away from home level the chances.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hadiya Hosaena is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.4 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
0.53 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.94 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 35% of matches (6 of 17 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hadiya Hosaena is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Hadiya Hosaena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Hadiya Hosaena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 1.72 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 41% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Dire Dawa KenemaGoalMohammednur Nasir
- Dire Dawa KenemaGoalMohammednur Nasir
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 2:0 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.53 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.94. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 56% of Hadiya Hosaena's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Hadiya Hosaena in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.