Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced confrontation favoring a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema displays poor home form with only 29% wins and a high rate of 57% of matches without scoring at home. Mebrat Hayl is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per match and recording 50% clean sheets. Both teams have identical form in the last five meetings (1.2 points per match) and a similar draw record. The low shot conversion rate of both teams (11% for hosts, 5% for guests) and the high rate of visitors failing to score (67% FTS%) suggest a low-scoring game where a draw is the most likely result.
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dire Dawa Kenema played Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.69 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.62 and concedes 0.38. League average: 1.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dire Dawa Kenema 38%, Mebrat Hayl 15%. Over 2.5: Dire Dawa Kenema 31%, Mebrat Hayl 8%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.03. Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.6 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.2.
Match halves
Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.46. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Dire Dawa Kenema: 76-90+ (3 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced confrontation favoring a draw scenario. Dire Dawa Kenema displays poor home form with only 29% wins and a high rate of 57% of matches without scoring at home. Mebrat Hayl is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per match and recording 50% clean sheets. Both teams have identical form in the last five meetings (1.2 points per match) and a similar draw record. The low shot conversion rate of both teams (11% for hosts, 5% for guests) and the high rate of visitors failing to score (67% FTS%) suggest a low-scoring game where a draw is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.62 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 184% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.38 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 69% (9 of 13 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.77 | 1.74 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 15% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▼ 8% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 38% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 0:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.69 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.62. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 15% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.