Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Dolomiti Bellunesi shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of -1, while Arzignano Valchiampo has a weaker away record (-3) and as many as 56% losses on the road. However, the key factor is current form – the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and are averaging 2 points per game, while the hosts have an identical record of 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Both teams are characterized by similar xG metrics (1.24 vs 1.34) and average goals scored, suggesting tactical balance. Considering that both sides have a 25% clean sheet rate and the slight home advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd, the most likely scenario is a draw in a tight, evenly-matched encounter.
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dolomiti Bellunesi played Arzignano Valchiampo in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Arzignano Valchiampo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 1.03 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.24 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dolomiti Bellunesi 48%, Arzignano Valchiampo 58%. Over 2.5: Dolomiti Bellunesi 52%, Arzignano Valchiampo 55%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Arzignano Valchiampo has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.31. Dolomiti Bellunesi: 11.0 shots per match, Arzignano Valchiampo: 10.8.
Match halves
Dolomiti Bellunesi: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.55. Arzignano Valchiampo: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 31-45+ (8 goals). Arzignano Valchiampo: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Dolomiti Bellunesi shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of -1, while Arzignano Valchiampo has a weaker away record (-3) and as many as 56% losses on the road. However, the key factor is current form – the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and are averaging 2 points per game, while the hosts have an identical record of 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Both teams are characterized by similar xG metrics (1.24 vs 1.34) and average goals scored, suggesting tactical balance. Considering that both sides have a 25% clean sheet rate and the slight home advantage for the hosts playing in front of their own crowd, the most likely scenario is a draw in a tight, evenly-matched encounter.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dolomiti Bellunesi has a high seasonal BTTS rate (65%) and a low CS percentage (24%), indicating frequent matches with goals from both sides. The average goals and xG are similar for both teams (xG for 1.36 vs 1.34), while both sides also concede many chances (xG against 1.43 and 1.51), supporting the BTTS scenario. The home team's defense has looked weak in the last 5 matches (1.8 goals conceded and 1.82 xGA), so even with Arzignano's recent poor finishing (0.8 goals/match), their chance of scoring remains significant. Arzignano has improved defensively in its last 5 games (0.4 goals conceded), which lowers the certainty for BTTS, but their overall seasonal profile (GA 45, CS 25%) is still not typically 'clean sheet-oriented'. Furthermore, both teams have a similar number of shots on target (3.94 vs 3.81), suggesting comparable ability to create goal-scoring opportunities. Overall, the data gives a slight edge to BTTS 'Yes', though without very high confidence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring model based on xG indicates elevated offensive potential for both sides: Dolomiti xG_for 1.36 against Arzignano xG_against 1.51 and Arzignano xG_for 1.34 against Dolomiti xG_against 1.43, which translates to an expected 2.70 goals. Seasonal averages for goals scored and conceded (1.29/1.35 for the hosts and 1.19/1.38 for the visitors) support a scenario closer to 2-3 goals rather than a low under. High Over 1.5 percentages (71% for Dolomiti, 63% for Arzignano) and relatively low CS rates (24–25%) increase the probability of at least two goals being scored. The 2.5 line is more balanced (53–56% over for the season), as Arzignano has significantly limited concessions in their last 5 matches (0.4 GA), which lowers the chances of 4+ goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the best pick as the most probable and stable option relative to the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dolomiti have a clearly superior first-half profile: on average, they concede only 0.35 goals by halftime with 71% clean sheets at HT, and they lead at the break more often (47%) than they trail (12%). Arzignano have been seasonally unstable before the break (they trail at HT in 38% of cases), and overall they have a high loss rate (56%), which increases the baseline probability of a home win. The advantage in quality of play data (xG) is minimal, but defensively Arzignano look worse (xGA 1.51 vs 1.43), which favors Dolomiti scoring the first goal. At the same time, the second half tends to be statistically more 'open', and Dolomiti concede an average of 1.0 goals after the break, which is why the 1/X and 1/2 scenarios are included. Despite Arzignano's good recent defensive run (0.4 goals conceded in L5), their low goal difference during this period (0.8 scored) limits the chances of a turnaround, so the strongest signal remains 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 2 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.24 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Arzignano Valchiampo is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.36 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Over / Under - Arzignano Valchiampo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.73 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Arzignano Valchiampo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Liga | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 41% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dolomiti Bellunesi 0 - 1 - 0 Arzignano Valchiampo. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
The Serie C Group A match finished Dolomiti Bellunesi 1:2 Arzignano Valchiampo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.03 goals per game on average and Arzignano Valchiampo 1.24. The Serie C Group A average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's matches and 58% of Arzignano Valchiampo's.
What form are Dolomiti Bellunesi and Arzignano Valchiampo in?
Over the last 5 games Dolomiti Bellunesi have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Arzignano Valchiampo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.