Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dolomiti Bellunesi played Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Pro Patria: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 1.03 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Pro Patria scores 0.77 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dolomiti Bellunesi 51%, Pro Patria 49%. Over 2.5: Dolomiti Bellunesi 51%, Pro Patria 54%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Dolomiti Bellunesi has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Dolomiti Bellunesi: 11.0 shots per match, Pro Patria: 9.4.
Match halves
Dolomiti Bellunesi: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.51. Pro Patria: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 31-45+ (9 goals). Pro Patria: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Dolomiti Bellunesi have 10 wins this season versus Pro Patria's 3 and sit 16th while the visitors are 20th with 21 defeats this season. In their last five matches the home side scored 9 goals, recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (average 1.4 points per game), whereas Pro Patria scored 4 goals, failed to win any match and average 0.4 points per game. At home the hosts average 1.06 goals scored and 1.18 conceded (xG 1.28 for and xG 1.40 against), while the visitors on the road average 0.71 scored and 1.65 conceded (xG 1.14 for and xG 1.82 against), indicating better finishing efficiency and lower vulnerability to conceding on the home side. Additionally, the hosts average 3.65 shots on target versus 2.35 for the visitors and have 35% of matches with a clean sheet compared to 18% for Pro Patria; therefore I assess the home win probability at about 65%, draw 20% and away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show moderate seasonal BTTS rates: Dolomiti Bellunesi 50% and Pro Patria 47%, while the league share of matches with both teams scoring is 50%. Form is a strong signal: in the last 5 matches Bellunesi had BTTS in 100% (5/5) and Pro Patria in 80% (4/5), indicating goals from both sides in most recent fixtures. This season the hosts concede 1.94 goals per game on average and the visitors 1.65; over the last 5 matches average concessions are 1.4 (hosts) and 1.8 (guests), so both teams frequently allow opponents to score. Offensively xG reads 1.28 for the hosts and 1.14 for the visitors, with xG against of 1.59 and 1.82 and average shots on target 3.11 and 2.35 respectively, meaning chances will be created at both ends. Considering the 100%/80% in the last 5, low clean sheet percentages of 17% and 18% and relatively high average concessions, I tip BTTS - Yes (70%) over No Goal (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The averaged xG model (Dolomiti Bellunesi attack xG 1.28 vs Pro Patria defense xG 1.82) yields expected goals of approximately 1.55 for the home side and 1.36 for the visitors, totaling ~2.91 goals. This is supported by seasonal metrics: the hosts concede on average 1.94 goals, the visitors 1.65, and the hosts register 10.28 shots (3.11 on target) versus the visitors' 8.47 (2.35 on target), which favors chance creation. Seasonal rates show Over 1.5 in 83% of the hosts' matches and 65% of the visitors' matches, while in the last 5 matches Dolomiti averaged 1.8 goals and had 80% of games finishing Over 2.5. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.91 yields roughly a 78.7% probability of Over 1.5, 55.7% for Over 2.5 and 33.3% for Over 3.5; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 as the best probability-to-risk proposition.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Dolomiti Bellunesi leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time), because in the last 5 matches the home side led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), while Pro Patria did not lead at the break in those five matches (0%). The hosts averaged 1.0 goal before the break over the last 5 matches, the visitors 0.0, with hosts’ xG at 1.28 versus 1.14 for the away team, supporting the hosts’ offensive potential. At half-time Dolomiti have 17 points and average 0.94 points per match at the break, whereas Pro Patria have 10 points and 0.59 points per match at the break, which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead after the break. In the last 5 matches the hosts won 40% of games and the visitors 0% in those five, so the advantage for the hosts in final results is evident; at the same time HT draws are relatively frequent in the seasonal data (44% for the hosts vs 41% for the visitors), which is why X/1 and X/X scenarios were also given a significant share.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 0.4 pts / match - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 0.77 goals / match - Pro Patria
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.8 goals / match - Pro Patria
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).
Pro Patria scores in 54% of matches (19 of 35 matches), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 0.77 pts / match - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 9%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 51% | 50% | • 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 42% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dolomiti Bellunesi 1 - 0 - 0 Pro Patria. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Dolomiti Bellunesi 2:4 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.03 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.77. The Serie C Group A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's matches and 49% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Dolomiti Bellunesi and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Dolomiti Bellunesi have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Patria 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pro Patria: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.