Doma United vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Doma United vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Doma United played Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Doma United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Warri Wolves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Doma United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Warri Wolves scores 0.50 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Doma United 50%, Warri Wolves 17%. Over 2.5: Doma United 50%, Warri Wolves 17%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Doma United has higher xG: 1.68 vs 0.80. Doma United: 7.8 shots per match, Warri Wolves: 1.2.
Match halves
Doma United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83. Warri Wolves: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Doma United: 31-45+ (3 goals). Warri Wolves: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Doma United sit 4th in the table and have won 67% of their home matches, while 13th-placed Warri Wolves are still without an away win. The hosts average 2 goals and 7.5 shots on target per game at home, whereas the visitors score just 0.33 goals away from home and average 0.5 shots on target. The gulf in chance quality is just as pronounced: Doma United’s home xG stands at 2.16, compared with Warri Wolves’ away xG of just 0.80. The hosts concede an average of 0.67 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away games. Although both teams have collected 7 points from their last 5 matches, Warri Wolves’ away record—two defeats and a draw—points to a Doma United win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Warri Wolves’ attack: they average 0.33 goals away from home and have failed to score in 67% of matches. Doma United have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches, further reducing the visitors’ chances of finding the net. Across their last five matches, Warri Wolves have averaged 0.6 goals from an xG of just 0.3, with both teams scoring in only 20% of those games. One counterpoint is that Doma United have recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. However, given the visitors’ poor scoring record, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: all matches played so far by Doma United at home and Warri Wolves away have finished below this line. The hosts average 1.0 goals scored at home and have yet to concede there, while the visitors manage just 0.33 goals per away match and have failed to score in 67% of such games. However, Warri Wolves concede an average of 1.33 goals away and allow opponents chances worth 2.32 xG, so a higher home tally remains possible. Across their last five matches, the two teams averaged 3.0 and 1.4 total goals respectively, highlighting greater volatility in Doma United’s results. The forecast of 2.05 total goals therefore supports the 3.5 line more strongly than the riskier Under 2.5 option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Doma United leading at the break and holding on to win: the hosts were ahead at half-time and won both of their home matches so far. Warri Wolves drew at half-time twice and trailed once in their three away games; they have not won any of those matches. Doma United average 1.0 goals scored at home and have yet to concede, while the visitors average 0.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded away. The case for the hosts protecting any lead is also supported by the fact that they did not concede after half-time in either home match, while Warri Wolves failed to score in the second half of all three away games. The sample is small, however, so a half-time draw followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Doma United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | -43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.68 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Doma United is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Doma United · 0.5 goals / match - Warri Wolves
Warri Wolves is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Doma United · 0.83 goals / match - Warri Wolves
Doma United scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Warri Wolves scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Doma United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Doma United
Over / Under - Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Doma United is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Doma United · 1.33 pts / match - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Doma United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Doma United
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Doma United | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.40 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
FAQ
What was the result of Doma United vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Doma United 1:0 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Doma United vs Warri Wolves?
Doma United score 1.50 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.50. The NPFL average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Doma United's matches and 17% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Doma United and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Doma United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Warri Wolves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Doma United vs Warri Wolves?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.