Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City: match statistics
As the league leader with 21 wins this season, Cardiff City presents significantly higher quality than Doncaster Rovers, who sit in 18th place. The visitors boast an impressive record of 64 goals scored with only 36 conceded, while the hosts have a negative overall goal difference (36:51). Cardiff dominates possession (61% vs 51%) and shows greater efficiency, especially in away matches, winning 44% of games with 38% clean sheets. Doncaster concedes an average of 1.4 goals in home matches, which, given Cardiff's offensive power (14 goals in the last 5 games), could be crucial. The form of both teams is similar in the last five matches, however, Cardiff possesses greater individual quality and experience in the fight for promotion, which should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Doncaster Rovers played Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Doncaster Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cardiff City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Doncaster Rovers scores 1.13 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.94 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Doncaster Rovers 53%, Cardiff City 58%. Over 2.5: Doncaster Rovers 53%, Cardiff City 61%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.34. Doncaster Rovers: 12.2 shots per match, Cardiff City: 14.6.
Match halves
Doncaster Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50. Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Doncaster Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). Cardiff City: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leader with 21 wins this season, Cardiff City presents significantly higher quality than Doncaster Rovers, who sit in 18th place. The visitors boast an impressive record of 64 goals scored with only 36 conceded, while the hosts have a negative overall goal difference (36:51). Cardiff dominates possession (61% vs 51%) and shows greater efficiency, especially in away matches, winning 44% of games with 38% clean sheets. Doncaster concedes an average of 1.4 goals in home matches, which, given Cardiff's offensive power (14 goals in the last 5 games), could be crucial. The form of both teams is similar in the last five matches, however, Cardiff possesses greater individual quality and experience in the fight for promotion, which should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Doncaster Rovers | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff City is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers · 2 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers · 1.94 goals / match - Cardiff City
Cardiff City is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers · 1.09 goals / match - Cardiff City
Doncaster Rovers scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Doncaster Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Doncaster Rovers
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers · 1.45 pts / match - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Doncaster Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Doncaster Rovers
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Doncaster Rovers | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Doncaster Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Cardiff City. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Doncaster Rovers 0:4 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City?
Doncaster Rovers score 1.13 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.94. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Doncaster Rovers's matches and 58% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Doncaster Rovers and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Doncaster Rovers have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cardiff City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City?
The statistical background for Doncaster Rovers vs Cardiff City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.