England - EFL League OneData current as of 21 October 2026

Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town: match statistics

Doncaster Rovers crest
Doncaster Rovers
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Luton Town crest
Luton Town
150%(3.00)
X27%(3.25)
223%(2.26)

Doncaster Rovers presents solid home form with 40% wins and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent at home. The hosts earned an impressive 2.0 points per match in the last five games, winning three of them. Luton Town, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away, with just 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match. The visitors failed to score in 38% of their away matches, indicating offensive problems. Despite Luton's higher average possession (58%), their away efficiency is low, which combined with the hosts' strong form speaks for a Doncaster victory. Considering all statistics, a triumph for the hosts is predicted, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Doncaster's 27% home draws.

Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Doncaster Rovers played Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 24 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Doncaster Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Luton Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Doncaster Rovers scores 1.09 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Luton Town scores 1.29 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Doncaster Rovers 53%, Luton Town 46%. Over 2.5: Doncaster Rovers 56%, Luton Town 49%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Luton Town has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.35. Doncaster Rovers: 12.3 shots per match, Luton Town: 12.3.

Match halves

Doncaster Rovers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.47. Luton Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Doncaster Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). Luton Town: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Doncaster Rovers presents solid home form with 40% wins and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent at home. The hosts earned an impressive 2.0 points per match in the last five games, winning three of them. Luton Town, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away, with just 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per match. The visitors failed to score in 38% of their away matches, indicating offensive problems. Despite Luton's higher average possession (58%), their away efficiency is low, which combined with the hosts' strong form speaks for a Doncaster victory. Considering all statistics, a triumph for the hosts is predicted, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Doncaster's 27% home draws.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
17Shots9
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
7Shots on target3
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.97xG1.04
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
5Corners3
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
56Dangerous attacks35
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
16Fouls11
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1Cards3
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.09Goals scored / match1.29
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.68Goals conceded / match1.26
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
50%Average possession57%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
3.56Shots on target / match3.66
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.35Shots per match12.31
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
3.56Shots on target3.66
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
8.8%Shot conversion10.4%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
50%Possession57%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.35xG for1.44
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.37xG against1.15
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Shooting quality

Doncaster Rovers: BalancedLuton Town: Balanced
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
Accuracy (shots on target)29%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Doncaster Rovers is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers · 0.4 pts / match - Luton Town

Doncaster Rovers
LWWLL
Season result split
32% W18% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-17
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Luton Town
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W23% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-14
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-10
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Luton Town is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.09 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers · 1.29 goals / match - Luton Town

Luton Town is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers · 1.26 goals / match - Luton Town

Doncaster Rovers scoring profile: strong

Doncaster Rovers scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).

Luton Town scoring profile: very strong

Luton Town scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while Doncaster Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

37Goals scored (season)45
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
57Goals conceded (season)44
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
2.76Average goals in match2.54
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
11Goals conceded (last 5)9
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal74%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
26%2 goals40%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
12%3 goals11%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
0%4 goals3%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal69%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
44%2 goals34%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
24%3 goals17%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
18%4 goals3%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
Doncaster Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 34 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time17%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
6%BTTS in both halves9%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
12%Scored in both halves23%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
40%BTTS - last 580%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Doncaster Rovers - half-time state
26% leading47% draw26% trailing
Luton Town - half-time state
26% leading46% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per match (1st half)1.23
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.17
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
59%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
59%No goal before half-time57%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.37
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
32%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town
59%No goal after half-time46%
Doncaster RoversLuton Town

Doncaster Rovers - second-half results

18% W29% D53% L
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luton Town - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Doncaster Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Luton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Doncaster Rovers
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
6
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
7
13
46-60
5
14
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
5
2
16-30
11
9
31-45
7
9
46-60
6
8
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Doncaster Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.94
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Doncaster RoversLigaLuton Town
Average goals in match▲ 2.762.61• 2.54
Both teams scored• 53%52%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%51%▼ 49%
Clean sheets▼ 21%27%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%70%▼ 66%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%80%▼ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Luton TownGoalKasey PalmerAssist: Jordan Clark
  2. Luton TownYellow cardJordan Clark
  3. Luton TownSubstitutionOn: Jake RichardsOff: Davy van den Berg
  4. Luton TownYellow cardKasey Palmer
  5. Luton TownYellow cardLiam Walsh
  6. Doncaster RoversYellow cardRobbie Gotts

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Andrew HumphriesMatches officiated: 15
2.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins33%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Doncaster Rovers 0 - 0 - 1 Luton Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Luton Town FC
1 : 0
Doncaster Rovers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town?

The EFL League One match finished Doncaster Rovers 1:1 Luton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town?

Doncaster Rovers score 1.09 goals per game on average and Luton Town 1.29. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Doncaster Rovers's matches and 46% of Luton Town's.

What form are Doncaster Rovers and Luton Town in?

Over the last 5 games Doncaster Rovers have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Luton Town 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.