Dorados vs CA La Paz: match statistics
CA La Paz is displaying significantly better form and statistics than Dorados. The visitors have a much better match record (6 wins compared to just 2 for the hosts) and a favorable goal difference (+2 away compared to -2 for the hosts at home). In their last 5 home matches, Dorados have won only once, losing 44% of their matches at their own stadium, while CA La Paz wins 33% of their away matches and has a better points-per-game average (1.6 vs 1.0). The visitors also demonstrate higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.78 goals per away game compared to the hosts' mere 0.78 goals at home. The advantage in ball possession (52% vs 43%) and a higher average of shots on target (4.44 vs 2.56) further support a CA La Paz victory. Considering all these factors, the visitors are the favorites for this match, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to CA La Paz's tendency to share points (44% draws away).
Dorados vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Dorados: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. CA La Paz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 0.83 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 1.72 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 50%, CA La Paz 61%. Over 2.5: Dorados 56%, CA La Paz 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.18. Dorados: 10.4 shots per match, CA La Paz: 14.3.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.72. CA La Paz: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 76-90+ (7 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz is displaying significantly better form and statistics than Dorados. The visitors have a much better match record (6 wins compared to just 2 for the hosts) and a favorable goal difference (+2 away compared to -2 for the hosts at home). In their last 5 home matches, Dorados have won only once, losing 44% of their matches at their own stadium, while CA La Paz wins 33% of their away matches and has a better points-per-game average (1.6 vs 1.0). The visitors also demonstrate higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.78 goals per away game compared to the hosts' mere 0.78 goals at home. The advantage in ball possession (52% vs 43%) and a higher average of shots on target (4.44 vs 2.56) further support a CA La Paz victory. Considering all these factors, the visitors are the favorites for this match, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to CA La Paz's tendency to share points (44% draws away).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dorados · 1.6 pts / match - CA La Paz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Dorados · 1.72 goals / match - CA La Paz
CA La Paz is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Dorados · 1.78 goals / match - CA La Paz
Dorados scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
CA La Paz scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - CA La Paz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 212% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Dorados · 1.56 pts / match - CA La Paz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
CA La Paz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | CA La Paz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorados 0 - 0 - 1 CA La Paz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs CA La Paz?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 2:2 CA La Paz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs CA La Paz?
Dorados score 0.83 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.72. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Dorados's matches and 61% of CA La Paz's.
What form are Dorados and CA La Paz in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and CA La Paz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs CA La Paz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.