Dorados vs Cancún: match statistics
Dorados vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 16 September 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Dorados: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cancún: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 2.14 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.86 and concedes 1.43. League average: 3.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 71%, Cancún 43%. Over 2.5: Dorados 71%, Cancún 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Dorados has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.64. Dorados: 13.9 shots per match, Cancún: 13.4.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Cancún: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 31-45+ (5 goals). Cancún: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.32 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dorados have a clear edge in chance creation at home: their average xG stands at 2.15, while Cancún generate just 0.87 xG away from home. The hosts average 18 shots and 6.67 on target per match, compared with just 7 attempts and 3 shots on target for their opponents. Cancún’s defence allows up to 2.34 xG away from home and concedes an average of 2 goals, which should benefit Dorados’ attack, despite the hosts scoring only 1.33 goals per home game. The visitors have nevertheless been more effective in recent weeks, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 11 goals during that run, so their chances of picking up a point remain significant. Dorados’ home record includes 2 draws from 3 matches and no wins, but the superior quality of chances created slightly favours them to end this run.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dorados have very strong offensive potential at home: they average 2.25 goals, create 2.12 xG, and record 7.5 shots on target per match, while Cancún concede an average of 2.0 goals and 2.34 xG away from home. However, the visitors are not a team lacking goal threat, having scored 2.2 goals and generated 1.72 xG per match across their last 5 fixtures. Dorados’ current form also supports a goal exchange: BTTS landed in 80% of their last five matches, with the team both scoring and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. The main risk to the pick is that the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while Dorados’ season-long BTTS rate is low at 25%. Nevertheless, the combination of Cancún’s defensive weakness and the visitors’ improved attack gives a slight edge to the scenario where both teams score — BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dorados have very strong attacking numbers at home: they average 2.25 goals scored, generate 2.12 xG, and register 7.5 shots on target per match. Cancún concede an average of 2.0 goals and 2.34 xG away from home, clearly supporting at least two goals for the hosts. In their last five matches, both teams have played open games: Dorados scored and conceded 2.0 goals per match, while Cancún scored 2.2 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Dorados’ last five matches and 60% of Cancún’s, while the Over 3.5 line remains less reliable due to both teams recording such outcomes in 50% of their seasonal data. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as Dorados exceeded this line in 100% of their home matches, and the projected total of 3.30 goals gives it a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dorados have a clear attacking quality advantage at home: they score an average of 2.25 goals, with an xG of 2.12, while Cancún concede an average of 2.00 goals away from home and allow 2.34 xG. The hosts also average 17 shots and 7.5 shots on target, compared with just 7 shots and 3 on target for Cancún. Dorados led at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches, while Cancún, despite drawing at half-time in 50% of their games, will have to withstand a significantly stronger attacking output from the hosts. The second half is particularly significant: Dorados score an average of 1.25 goals after the break and concede none, whereas Cancún do not score after half-time and concede 1.50 goals. The most likely scenario is therefore a Dorados lead at half-time followed by a victory maintained through to the end of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dorados · 2 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dorados is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Dorados · 1.86 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Dorados · 1.43 goals / match - Cancún
Dorados scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Cancún scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Dorados · 1.57 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.71 | 3.32 | • 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dorados 0 - 0 - 2 Cancún. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 1:1 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dorados and Cancún?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dorados won 0, Cancún won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Cancún?
Dorados score 2.14 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.86. The Ascenso MX average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Dorados's matches and 43% of Cancún's.
What form are Dorados and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cancún 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.