Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dorados: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 0.80 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.08 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 48%, Correcaminos UAT 67%. Over 2.5: Dorados 52%, Correcaminos UAT 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Dorados: 9.9 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 8.7.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.60. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 76-90+ (7 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Correcaminos UAT show much better recent form (ddwwl, PPG 1.6) than Dorados (llldl, PPG 0.2), favoring the visitors. Dorados have poor season efficiency — only 2 wins, 20 goals for and 50 conceded — and weak recent home form. Correcaminos scored more in the last five (7) and demonstrate better attacking efficiency despite similar xG, though they also concede. Both defences are vulnerable, but form and short-term scoring ability favor the visitors. I back a Correcaminos win, acknowledging moderate draw risk due to home inefficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: Dorados season BTTS 75%, Correcaminos 58%, league avg 55%. Both concede heavily (ga_season_home 2.08, ga_season_away 2.17) and have low CS% (8% and 25%), increasing Goal/Goal probability. xG shows both create chances (xg_for_home 1.27, xg_for_away 0.97) and are defensively exposed (xg_against_home 1.6, xg_against_away 1.99). Despite Dorados’ lower L5 BTTS (40%) and weaker recent scoring, overall profiles (high over2.5 and few CS) support BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes (with confidence lean).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Strong Over 1.5 signal driven by high seasonOver15: Dorados 92% and Correcaminos 83%, indicating regular matches with at least two goals. xG model suggests 1.63 for home and 1.29 for away (avg and opponent conceded), total ~2.92, matching league avg ~2.91. High BTTS (Dorados 75%, Correcaminos 58%), high shot volumes and weak defenses favor an open game. Over2.5 possible but with lower confidence; Over3.5 less likely given moderate over35 rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and an away victory in the second half. The away team has better recent form (ddwwl) and higher second-half metrics (ppg_2hg_away 1.42, wins_2hg_percentage_away 42%), suggesting a turnaround after the break. Hosts are in poor run (llldl) and HT averages are often balanced, hence HT draw probability is elevated. High BTTS and concentration of goals late (min.76-90) increase probability of decisive second-half goals for Correcaminos.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Correcaminos UAT is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Dorados · 1.6 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Correcaminos UAT is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Dorados · 1.08 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Dorados is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Dorados · 2.13 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Dorados scores in 52% of matches (13 of 25 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dorados is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Dorados · 0.63 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorados 0 - 0 - 1 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 2:1 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
Dorados score 0.80 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.08. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's matches and 67% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Dorados and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dorados vs Correcaminos UAT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.