Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams in poor form. Dorados is displaying disastrous form with only two victories all season and a winless streak of five matches, while Leones Negros is also in a crisis, without a win in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a slightly better record at home (18% win rate, 36% draw rate) than the visitors do away (25% win rate, 8% draw rate), which gives them a marginal edge. Both teams struggle defensively – Dorados concedes an average of 1.09 goals at home, and Leones a staggering 2.17 away, suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the abysmal form of both squads, low offensive output, and defensive instability, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although neither team can be ruled out of the fight for all three points.
Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Dorados: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 0.83 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.21 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 48%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 50%. Over 2.5: Dorados 57%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.10. Dorados: 9.7 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.2.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.65. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 76-90+ (7 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams in poor form. Dorados is displaying disastrous form with only two victories all season and a winless streak of five matches, while Leones Negros is also in a crisis, without a win in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a slightly better record at home (18% win rate, 36% draw rate) than the visitors do away (25% win rate, 8% draw rate), which gives them a marginal edge. Both teams struggle defensively – Dorados concedes an average of 1.09 goals at home, and Leones a staggering 2.17 away, suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the abysmal form of both squads, low offensive output, and defensive instability, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although neither team can be ruled out of the fight for all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Dorados · 0.4 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Dorados · 1.21 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Dorados · 1.54 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Dorados scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Dorados · 1.13 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.87 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Joél Gustavo Pérez ValleOff: Denilson Saaid Muñoz Bustamante
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Óscar Gil Vázquez
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Daniel TorresOff: Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorados 0 - 0 - 1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 1:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Dorados score 0.83 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.21. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Dorados's matches and 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Dorados and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.