Dorados vs Morelia: match statistics
Morelia clearly outperforms Dorados in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have won only 2 matches this season with a 17:41 goal difference, achieving just 20% wins at home and 40% losses at their own stadium. The visitors show much better form with 9 wins this season, positive momentum in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2.0 points per game), and better offensive statistics (4.36 shots on target per game compared to the hosts' 2.5). Morelia scores an average of 1.36 goals away from home with only 18% of matches without a goal, while Dorados fail to score in 40% of their home games. The visitors' advantage in possession (47% vs 42%), conversion rate (13% vs 9%), and expected goals (xG 1.35 vs 1.06) further confirms their superiority, although Morelia's high percentage of draws away (45%) does not rule out a share of the points.
Dorados vs Morelia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Dorados: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Morelia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 0.85 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Morelia scores 1.43 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 50%, Morelia 48%. Over 2.5: Dorados 60%, Morelia 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.16. Dorados: 10.2 shots per match, Morelia: 13.7.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Morelia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 76-90+ (7 goals). Morelia: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia clearly outperforms Dorados in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts have won only 2 matches this season with a 17:41 goal difference, achieving just 20% wins at home and 40% losses at their own stadium. The visitors show much better form with 9 wins this season, positive momentum in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2.0 points per game), and better offensive statistics (4.36 shots on target per game compared to the hosts' 2.5). Morelia scores an average of 1.36 goals away from home with only 18% of matches without a goal, while Dorados fail to score in 40% of their home games. The visitors' advantage in possession (47% vs 42%), conversion rate (13% vs 9%), and expected goals (xG 1.35 vs 1.06) further confirms their superiority, although Morelia's high percentage of draws away (45%) does not rule out a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Morelia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dorados · 2 pts / match - Morelia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Dorados · 1.43 goals / match - Morelia
Morelia is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Dorados · 1.17 goals / match - Morelia
Dorados scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Morelia scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 154% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Dorados · 1.65 pts / match - Morelia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
Morelia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorados 0 - 0 - 1 Morelia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Morelia?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 0:1 Morelia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Morelia?
Dorados score 0.85 goals per game on average and Morelia 1.43. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Dorados's matches and 48% of Morelia's.
What form are Dorados and Morelia in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Morelia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Morelia?
The statistical background for Dorados vs Morelia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.