Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorados played Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Dorados: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorados scores 0.88 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.29 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorados 53%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 52%. Over 2.5: Dorados 59%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.17. Dorados: 10.3 shots per match, Tepatitlán de Morelos: 13.9.
Match halves
Dorados: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.76. Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Dorados: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tepatitlán de Morelos appears to be the clear favorite for this match. Dorados is in very poor form with just 2 wins in the entire season and a goal difference of -19 (15:34), while the visitors have a solid record of 7-8-6 and a positive goal difference of +7 (27:20). Key statistics indicate the visitors' advantage: Tepatitlán has a significantly better xG rate (1.52 vs 1.04 for the hosts), averages 5.5 accurate shots per away match (vs 2.38 for Dorados at home), and has 50% possession. Dorados loses as many as 50% of their home matches and fails to score in 38% of cases, which, combined with a defense that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per match at home, presents a clear opportunity for the visitors. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches (1.0 PPG for Dorados vs 1.4 PPG for Tepatitlán) further confirms the visitors' advantage, as they have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorados | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dorados · 1.4 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Dorados · 1.29 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 111% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Dorados · 0.95 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Dorados scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorados
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 153% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - Dorados · 1.19 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorados
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Dorados | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorados 0 - 0 - 1 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The Ascenso MX match finished Dorados 0:0 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Dorados score 0.88 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.29. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Dorados's matches and 52% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.
What form are Dorados and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?
Over the last 5 games Dorados have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The statistical background for Dorados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.