Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Dorchester Town displays better home form with 29% wins and an average of 1.35 goals per match at home, while Bracknell Town has only 25% wins away and averages just 0.88 goals scored in away matches. However, the key factor is current form – the visitors have won three of their last five matches (PPG 2.2), scoring 10 goals, while the hosts have managed only one point per game in this period. Both teams are characterized by weak defense (Dorchester 1.88 goals conceded at home, Bracknell 1.69 away) and a negative goal difference, which suggests a match with goals on both sides. Considering Dorchester's high draw percentage (29% at home) and the fact that Bracknell has 25% draws away while showing improved form, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorchester Town played Bracknell Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Dorchester Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bracknell Town: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorchester Town scores 1.23 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Bracknell Town scores 1.46 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorchester Town 63%, Bracknell Town 63%. Over 2.5: Dorchester Town 54%, Bracknell Town 51%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Bracknell Town has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.10. Dorchester Town: 0.8 shots per match, Bracknell Town: 2.4.
Match halves
Dorchester Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.69. Bracknell Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Dorchester Town: 31-45+ (11 goals). Bracknell Town: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Dorchester Town displays better home form with 29% wins and an average of 1.35 goals per match at home, while Bracknell Town has only 25% wins away and averages just 0.88 goals scored in away matches. However, the key factor is current form – the visitors have won three of their last five matches (PPG 2.2), scoring 10 goals, while the hosts have managed only one point per game in this period. Both teams are characterized by weak defense (Dorchester 1.88 goals conceded at home, Bracknell 1.69 away) and a negative goal difference, which suggests a match with goals on both sides. Considering Dorchester's high draw percentage (29% at home) and the fact that Bracknell has 25% draws away while showing improved form, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorchester Town | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 14% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.38 | 0.51 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 11.18 | 2.70 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dorchester Town is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Dorchester Town · 0.6 pts / match - Bracknell Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bracknell Town is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Dorchester Town · 1.46 goals / match - Bracknell Town
Dorchester Town scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Bracknell Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
Bracknell Town scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Dorchester Town keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorchester Town
Over / Under - Bracknell Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dorchester Town is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Dorchester Town · 1.03 pts / match - Bracknell Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorchester Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bracknell Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorchester Town
Bracknell Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Dorchester Town | Liga | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.17 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Bracknell TownGoalJack Mazzone
- Bracknell TownGoalArthur Gregory
- Bracknell TownGoalJack McDowell
- Bracknell TownGoalJack McDowell
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorchester Town 0 - 1 - 0 Bracknell Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Dorchester Town 2:4 Bracknell Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town?
Dorchester Town score 1.23 goals per game on average and Bracknell Town 1.46. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Dorchester Town's matches and 63% of Bracknell Town's.
What form are Dorchester Town and Bracknell Town in?
Over the last 5 games Dorchester Town have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bracknell Town 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town?
The statistical background for Dorchester Town vs Bracknell Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.