Dorchester Town vs Evesham United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Dorchester Town shows weaker home form with a 27% win rate and a goal difference of -10, but in their last five overall matches they have earned 6 points. Evesham United has better current form (7 points in the last 5 matches) and is undefeated in that run. However, away from home they win only 14% of matches and have not kept a single clean sheet. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their home grounds (-10), and the average goals in home matches (3.47) suggests an open game. Evesham is undefeated in their last five matches, giving them a psychological edge, but their poor away efficiency (36% of matches without scoring a goal) and the prevalence of draws (36%) in their away fixtures point towards a share of points as the most probable scenario.
Dorchester Town vs Evesham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dorchester Town played Evesham United in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Dorchester Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Evesham United: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dorchester Town scores 1.22 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Evesham United scores 1.38 and concedes 1.34. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dorchester Town 59%, Evesham United 62%. Over 2.5: Dorchester Town 56%, Evesham United 52%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Dorchester Town has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.14. Dorchester Town: 0.6 shots per match, Evesham United: 1.2.
Match halves
Dorchester Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.63. Evesham United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Dorchester Town: 31-45+ (8 goals). Evesham United: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which suggests a draw. Dorchester Town shows weaker home form with a 27% win rate and a goal difference of -10, but in their last five overall matches they have earned 6 points. Evesham United has better current form (7 points in the last 5 matches) and is undefeated in that run. However, away from home they win only 14% of matches and have not kept a single clean sheet. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their home grounds (-10), and the average goals in home matches (3.47) suggests an open game. Evesham is undefeated in their last five matches, giving them a psychological edge, but their poor away efficiency (36% of matches without scoring a goal) and the prevalence of draws (36%) in their away fixtures point towards a share of points as the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dorchester Town | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -7% | 12% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 2.20 | 0.94 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 9.86 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Evesham United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dorchester Town · 1.8 pts / match - Evesham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Evesham United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Dorchester Town · 1.38 goals / match - Evesham United
Evesham United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Dorchester Town · 1.34 goals / match - Evesham United
Dorchester Town scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Evesham United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Evesham United scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Dorchester Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dorchester Town
Over / Under - Evesham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Evesham United is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Dorchester Town · 1.17 pts / match - Evesham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dorchester Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Evesham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dorchester Town
Evesham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Dorchester Town | Liga | Evesham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.11 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 61% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Dorchester TownGoalJoseph Parker
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dorchester Town 0 - 0 - 1 Evesham United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dorchester Town vs Evesham United?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Dorchester Town 1:0 Evesham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dorchester Town vs Evesham United?
Dorchester Town score 1.22 goals per game on average and Evesham United 1.38. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Dorchester Town's matches and 62% of Evesham United's.
What form are Dorchester Town and Evesham United in?
Over the last 5 games Dorchester Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Evesham United 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dorchester Town vs Evesham United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dorchester Town vs Evesham United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.