Doxa vs Karmiotissa: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both sides. Doxa exhibits poor home form with a mere 38% win rate at home and a negative run in recent fixtures, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per match while scoring at a similar rate. Karmiotissa boasts better overall form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches) and higher finishing efficiency (10% shot conversion), yet they draw 43% of their away games. A key factor is the identical goal difference (0) for both teams in their respective matches and balanced xG values. Given the hosts' recent struggles at home and the visitors' propensity for away draws, a share of the points appears the most likely scenario.
Doxa vs Karmiotissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Doxa played Karmiotissa in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Doxa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Karmiotissa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Doxa scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Karmiotissa scores 1.79 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Doxa 40%, Karmiotissa 50%. Over 2.5: Doxa 33%, Karmiotissa 64%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Karmiotissa has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.49. Doxa: 6.3 shots per match, Karmiotissa: 10.4.
Match halves
Doxa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.87. Karmiotissa: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Doxa: 76-90+ (8 goals). Karmiotissa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both sides. Doxa exhibits poor home form with a mere 38% win rate at home and a negative run in recent fixtures, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per match while scoring at a similar rate. Karmiotissa boasts better overall form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches) and higher finishing efficiency (10% shot conversion), yet they draw 43% of their away games. A key factor is the identical goal difference (0) for both teams in their respective matches and balanced xG values. Given the hosts' recent struggles at home and the visitors' propensity for away draws, a share of the points appears the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Doxa | Karmiotissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.68 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karmiotissa is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Doxa · 2 pts / match - Karmiotissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karmiotissa is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Doxa · 1.79 goals / match - Karmiotissa
Doxa is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Doxa · 1 goals / match - Karmiotissa
Doxa scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Karmiotissa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Karmiotissa scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Doxa keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Doxa
Over / Under - Karmiotissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karmiotissa is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Doxa · 2 pts / match - Karmiotissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Doxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karmiotissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Doxa
Karmiotissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Doxa | Liga | Karmiotissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KarmiotissaGoalLuiz Henrique Guedes
- DoxaGoalNicolae Milinceanu
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Doxa 0 - 0 - 1 Karmiotissa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Doxa vs Karmiotissa?
The Second Division match finished Doxa 1:1 Karmiotissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Doxa vs Karmiotissa?
Doxa score 1.40 goals per game on average and Karmiotissa 1.79. The Second Division average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Doxa's matches and 50% of Karmiotissa's.
What form are Doxa and Karmiotissa in?
Over the last 5 games Doxa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Karmiotissa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Doxa vs Karmiotissa?
The statistical background for Doxa vs Karmiotissa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.