Dumbarton vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dumbarton played East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Dumbarton: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. East Kilbride: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dumbarton scores 1.67 and concedes 2.07 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 2.13 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dumbarton 93%, East Kilbride 67%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 80%, East Kilbride 73%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.40 vs 0.99. Dumbarton: 6.3 shots per match, East Kilbride: 9.9.

Match halves

Dumbarton: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.87. East Kilbride: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Dumbarton: 31-45+ (6 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
DumbartonEast Kilbride
6Shots7
DumbartonEast Kilbride
2Shots on target4
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0.78xG1.29
DumbartonEast Kilbride
8Corners9
DumbartonEast Kilbride
34Dangerous attacks78
DumbartonEast Kilbride
11Fouls10
DumbartonEast Kilbride
2Cards2
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

DumbartonEast Kilbride
1.67Goals scored / match2.13
DumbartonEast Kilbride
2.07Goals conceded / match1.2
DumbartonEast Kilbride
49%Average possession54%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
3.27Shots on target / match5
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.27Shots per match9.87
DumbartonEast Kilbride
3.27Shots on target5
DumbartonEast Kilbride
26.6%Shot conversion21.6%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
49%Possession54%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0.99xG for1.4
DumbartonEast Kilbride
1.38xG against1.26
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Shooting quality

Dumbarton: Efficient finishingEast Kilbride: Efficient finishing
DumbartonEast Kilbride
Accuracy (shots on target)52%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.510.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

East Kilbride is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Dumbarton · 2 pts / match - East Kilbride

Dumbarton
LWLLL
Season result split
33% W20% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-7
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
East Kilbride
LWWDW
Season result split
53% W27% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-3
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Dumbarton · 2.13 goals / match - East Kilbride

East Kilbride is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.07 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.2 goals / match - East Kilbride

Dumbarton scoring profile: very strong

Dumbarton scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 100% of matches (15 of 15 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).

25Goals scored (season)32
DumbartonEast Kilbride
31Goals conceded (season)18
DumbartonEast Kilbride
3.73Average goals in match3.33
DumbartonEast Kilbride
7Goals scored (last 5)10
DumbartonEast Kilbride
14Goals conceded (last 5)4
DumbartonEast Kilbride

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal100%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
47%2 goals60%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
20%3 goals40%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
7%4 goals7%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
67%2 goals40%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
27%3 goals13%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
13%4 goals0%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time33%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
7%BTTS in both halves0%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
27%Scored in both halves27%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
80%BTTS - last 560%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

93%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time47%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Dumbarton · 2 pts / match - East Kilbride

Dumbarton - half-time state
27% leading20% draw53% trailing
East Kilbride - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0.8Goals scored (1st half)1.4
DumbartonEast Kilbride
1.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
DumbartonEast Kilbride
2Average goals (1st half)2.07
DumbartonEast Kilbride
27%Clean sheet before half-time60%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
40%No goal before half-time20%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.47
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
DumbartonEast Kilbride
0.87Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
DumbartonEast Kilbride
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.27
DumbartonEast Kilbride
40%Clean sheet after half-time53%
DumbartonEast Kilbride
40%No goal after half-time53%
DumbartonEast Kilbride

Dumbarton - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

East Kilbride - second-half results

40% W27% D33% L
30
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 53%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
7
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
7
3
16-30
9
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.53
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
80%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
93%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

DumbartonLigaEast Kilbride
Average goals in match 3.732.96 3.33
Both teams scored 93%65% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 80%57% 73%
Clean sheets 0%21% 33%
Goal before half-time 93%76% 87%
Goal after half-time 87%76% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. DumbartonGoalDominic Docherty
  2. DumbartonGoalMark DurnanAssist: Dominic Docherty
  3. East KilbrideYellow cardLewis Spence
  4. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Aedan GilfedderOff: Alistair Roy
  5. DumbartonYellow cardTony Wallace
  6. East KilbrideYellow cardJack Leitch
  7. DumbartonYellow cardMark Durnan
  8. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Lewis DobbieOff: Cameron Elliott
  9. DumbartonYellow cardLeighton McIntosh
  10. East KilbrideYellow cardSean Fagan
  11. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Scott HoneymanOff: Leighton McIntosh
  12. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Aron LynasOff: Tony Wallace

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jamie WilkieMatches officiated: 9
4.33Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 222%Home wins0%Draws78%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dumbarton 0 - 1 - 0 East Kilbride. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

East Kilbride FC
1 : 1
Dumbarton FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dumbarton vs East Kilbride?

The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:0 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs East Kilbride?

Dumbarton score 1.67 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 2.13. The League Two average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 93% of Dumbarton's matches and 67% of East Kilbride's.

What form are Dumbarton and East Kilbride in?

Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and East Kilbride 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs East Kilbride?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dumbarton vs East Kilbride: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.