Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dumbarton played Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

Dumbarton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dumbarton scores 1.62 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.23 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dumbarton 92%, Forfar Athletic 46%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 77%, Forfar Athletic 46%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Forfar Athletic has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.03. Dumbarton: 6.7 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.8.

Match halves

Dumbarton: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Dumbarton: 31-45+ (6 goals). Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 3
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
DumbartonForfar Athletic
4Shots9
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1Shots on target7
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0.57xG1.26
DumbartonForfar Athletic
4Corners3
DumbartonForfar Athletic
34Dangerous attacks27
DumbartonForfar Athletic
15Fouls5
DumbartonForfar Athletic
2Cards1
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.62Goals scored / match1.23
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.77Goals conceded / match1.31
DumbartonForfar Athletic
49%Average possession49%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
3.46Shots on target / match3.54
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.69Shots per match7.85
DumbartonForfar Athletic
3.46Shots on target3.54
DumbartonForfar Athletic
24.1%Shot conversion15.7%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
49%Possession49%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.03xG for1.08
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.41xG against1.2
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Shooting quality

Dumbarton: Efficient finishingForfar Athletic: Efficient finishing
DumbartonForfar Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)52%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forfar Athletic is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Dumbarton · 1 pts / match - Forfar Athletic

Dumbarton
DLLWL
Season result split
38% W23% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-5
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Forfar Athletic
LDLDW
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-5
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dumbarton is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.23 goals / match - Forfar Athletic

Forfar Athletic is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.77 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.31 goals / match - Forfar Athletic

Dumbarton scoring profile: very strong

Dumbarton scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

Forfar Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Forfar Athletic scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).

21Goals scored (season)16
DumbartonForfar Athletic
23Goals conceded (season)17
DumbartonForfar Athletic
3.38Average goals in match2.54
DumbartonForfar Athletic
6Goals scored (last 5)7
DumbartonForfar Athletic
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
DumbartonForfar Athletic

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal69%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
46%2 goals23%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
15%3 goals15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
8%4 goals15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal62%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
62%2 goals38%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
15%3 goals15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0%4 goals8%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
8%BTTS in both halves8%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
31%Scored in both halves15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

BTTS and goal count

77%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
80%BTTS - last 560%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
62%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forfar Athletic is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / match - Dumbarton · 2.08 pts / match - Forfar Athletic

Dumbarton - half-time state
31% leading23% draw46% trailing
Forfar Athletic - half-time state
62% leading23% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per match (1st half)2.08
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.85
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0.92Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.77Average goals (1st half)1.31
DumbartonForfar Athletic
31%Clean sheet before half-time69%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
38%No goal before half-time38%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per match (2nd half)0.85
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
DumbartonForfar Athletic
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
DumbartonForfar Athletic
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.23
DumbartonForfar Athletic
46%Clean sheet after half-time38%
DumbartonForfar Athletic
38%No goal after half-time77%
DumbartonForfar Athletic

Dumbarton - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
15
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forfar Athletic - second-half results

15% W38% D46% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Forfar Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Forfar Athletic
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Forfar Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

DumbartonLigaForfar Athletic
Average goals in match 3.382.91 2.54
Both teams scored 92%65% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 77%58% 46%
Clean sheets 0%22% 38%
Goal before half-time 92%74% 77%
Goal after half-time 85%80% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Forfar AthleticGoalStuart MorrisonAssist: Mark Whatley
  2. Forfar AthleticGoalAngus Mailer
  3. DumbartonYellow cardDominic Docherty
  4. Forfar AthleticGoalScott ShepherdAssist: Martin Rennie
  5. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Ryan BlairOff: Dominic Docherty
  6. Forfar AthleticGoalMartin Rennie
  7. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Scott HoneymanOff: Cameron Clark
  8. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Aedan GilfedderOff: Chris Johnston
  9. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Jake SutherlandOff: Martin Rennie
  10. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Nathan CannonOff: Scott Shepherd
  11. Forfar AthleticSubstitutionOn: Jamie RichardsonOff: Stuart Morrison

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Daniel GravesMatches officiated: 12
4.92Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins25%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dumbarton 1 - 0 - 0 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Forfar Athletic FC
2 : 3
Dumbarton FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

The League Two match finished Dumbarton 1:4 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Dumbarton score 1.62 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.23. The League Two average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 92% of Dumbarton's matches and 46% of Forfar Athletic's.

What form are Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.