Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dumbarton played Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Dumbarton: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stirling Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dumbarton scores 1.65 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.24 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dumbarton 88%, Stirling Albion 65%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 71%, Stirling Albion 59%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Stirling Albion has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.99. Dumbarton: 6.4 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 7.8.

Match halves

Dumbarton: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Dumbarton: 31-45+ (6 goals). Stirling Albion: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
DumbartonStirling Albion
9Shots11
DumbartonStirling Albion
3Shots on target6
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.27xG1.51
DumbartonStirling Albion
9Corners9
DumbartonStirling Albion
68Dangerous attacks55
DumbartonStirling Albion
8Fouls7
DumbartonStirling Albion
0Cards2
DumbartonStirling Albion

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

DumbartonStirling Albion
1.65Goals scored / match1.24
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.88Goals conceded / match1.88
DumbartonStirling Albion
48%Average possession47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
3.18Shots on target / match3.76
DumbartonStirling Albion

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.41Shots per match7.82
DumbartonStirling Albion
3.18Shots on target3.76
DumbartonStirling Albion
25.7%Shot conversion15.8%
DumbartonStirling Albion
48%Possession47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.99xG for1.06
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.36xG against1.62
DumbartonStirling Albion

Shooting quality

Dumbarton: Efficient finishingStirling Albion: Counter-attacking
DumbartonStirling Albion
Accuracy (shots on target)50%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.520.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stirling Albion is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Dumbarton · 1 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton
LLLWD
Season result split
35% W24% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-7
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Stirling Albion
LDLDW
Season result split
24% W29% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-8
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dumbarton is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.65 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.24 goals / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton scoring profile: very strong

Dumbarton scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

Stirling Albion scoring profile: very strong

Stirling Albion scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

28Goals scored (season)21
DumbartonStirling Albion
32Goals conceded (season)32
DumbartonStirling Albion
3.53Average goals in match3.12
DumbartonStirling Albion
7Goals scored (last 5)6
DumbartonStirling Albion
11Goals conceded (last 5)10
DumbartonStirling Albion

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal71%
DumbartonStirling Albion
47%2 goals47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
18%3 goals6%
DumbartonStirling Albion
6%4 goals0%
DumbartonStirling Albion

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal88%
DumbartonStirling Albion
59%2 goals47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
24%3 goals35%
DumbartonStirling Albion
12%4 goals18%
DumbartonStirling Albion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time24%
DumbartonStirling Albion
6%BTTS in both halves12%
DumbartonStirling Albion
24%Scored in both halves35%
DumbartonStirling Albion

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
DumbartonStirling Albion
60%BTTS - last 580%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
DumbartonStirling Albion
65%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
DumbartonStirling Albion
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
DumbartonStirling Albion

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
DumbartonStirling Albion
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
DumbartonStirling Albion
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dumbarton is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Dumbarton · 0.82 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton - half-time state
29% leading18% draw53% trailing
Stirling Albion - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)0.82
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.53
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.12Goals conceded (1st half)1
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.94Average goals (1st half)1.53
DumbartonStirling Albion
29%Clean sheet before half-time41%
DumbartonStirling Albion
41%No goal before half-time59%
DumbartonStirling Albion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.18
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.59
DumbartonStirling Albion
47%Clean sheet after half-time35%
DumbartonStirling Albion
41%No goal after half-time35%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Dumbarton - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
18
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stirling Albion - second-half results

24% W47% D29% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stirling Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
7
46-60
5
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Stirling Albion
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
8
31-45
2
3
46-60
5
5
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
77%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Stirling Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

DumbartonLigaStirling Albion
Average goals in match 3.532.98 3.12
Both teams scored 88%67% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%58% 59%
Clean sheets 6%19% 12%
Goal before half-time 94%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 82%78% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.58
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Stirling AlbionYellow cardKyle Banner
  2. Stirling AlbionGoalRyan ShanleyAssist: Kyle Banner
  3. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Scott HoneymanOff: Kai Kirkpatrick
  4. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Russell McLeanOff: Christopher Eadie
  5. Stirling AlbionYellow cardRyan Shanley
  6. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Theo McCormickOff: Tony Wallace
  7. DumbartonGoalScott HoneymanAssist: Leighton McIntosh
  8. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Billy HutchingsonOff: Aidan Cannon
  9. Stirling AlbionGoalAdam BrownAssist: Kyle Banner
  10. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Mackenzie CarseOff: Corey Thomson
  11. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Morgyn NeillOff: Dominic Docherty

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dumbarton 0 - 1 - 0 Stirling Albion. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Stirling Albion FC
2 : 2
Dumbarton FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

The League Two match finished Dumbarton 1:2 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton score 1.65 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.24. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Dumbarton's matches and 65% of Stirling Albion's.

What form are Dumbarton and Stirling Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stirling Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.