Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: match statistics
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundalk played Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 15 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Dundalk: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Shamrock Rovers: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundalk scores 1.69 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Shamrock Rovers scores 1.69 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundalk 69%, Shamrock Rovers 50%. Over 2.5: Dundalk 63%, Shamrock Rovers 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Dundalk has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.50. Dundalk: 16.4 shots per match, Shamrock Rovers: 13.0.
Match halves
Dundalk: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94. Shamrock Rovers: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Dundalk: 76-90+ (12 goals). Shamrock Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shamrock Rovers are the favorites: they sit 1st in the table while Dundalk are 4th; in their last five matches Shamrock have scored 10 goals and recorded 4 wins and 1 loss, whereas Dundalk have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with a goal record of 7-11. The visitors’ defense looks better this season: Shamrock have conceded 13 goals versus Dundalk’s 26 conceded, averaging 1.00 goal conceded away compared to Dundalk’s 1.13 conceded at home, and in the last five matches the visitors have allowed only 4 goals. However the hosts create more high-quality chances at home: Dundalk’s average xG is 1.83 with 6.63 shots on target per match and an average of 1.88 goals scored per match, while Shamrock away have xG 1.43, 3.75 shots on target and 1.38 goals per match. The form gap is significant — Shamrock average 2.4 points in their last 5 matches versus 0.8 for Dundalk, and the overall season win record is 10-5 in favor of the visitors. Based on this I predict a Shamrock Rovers win; I assess the chances as 60% win for the visitors, 20% draw and 20% win for Dundalk.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Dundalk recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and Shamrock Rovers in 60%, yielding an approximate 70% form signal for both teams scoring. Dundalk conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Shamrock scored 2.0 in that period, against season goal averages of 2.0 (Dundalk) and 1.38 (Shamrock), so there is a realistic chance both sides will find the net. Chance metrics also support BTTS: season xG is 1.57 vs 1.43, and in the last 5 matches xG was 2.09 (Dundalk) vs 1.61 (Shamrock), with average shots on target of 5.63 for the home side and 3.75 for the visitors, confirming chance creation from both teams. Against BTTS is the fact that Dundalk have 50% clean sheets on the season and concede only 0.63 goals at home on average, and the league-wide BTTS rate is 57%, so I do not elevate the probability to extremes. Considering the stronger signal from the last 5 matches, rising xG and actual goal averages, I assess BTTS - Yes at 65% and No at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.38 xG for Dundalk and 1.30 xG for Shamrock (calculated from 1.57/1.18 and 1.43/1.16), totaling 2.68 goals, which is very close to the league average of 2.69. Season over 1.5 percentages are 75% for Dundalk and 63% for Shamrock, and 100% of Dundalk’s matches and 88% of Shamrock’s matches finished with at least one goal (over 0.5), providing a strong signal for at least two goals in the match. Dundalk averages 13.13 shots and 5.63 on target with a 15% conversion, Shamrock averages 12.88 shots and 3.75 on target with an 11% conversion; this suggests a home offensive edge and realistic chances for goals from both sides. Although the season over 2.5 rate is 38% for both teams, the last 5 matches show 80% over 2.5 for Dundalk and 60% for Shamrock, and 5-game averages are: Dundalk 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded, Shamrock 2.0 scored / 0.8 conceded, therefore I assess the chance of Over 2.5 at approximately 55%. Over 3.5 remains less likely (seasonal 25%/38% and projected xG 2.68 suggest roughly a 28% probability), so I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a Dundalk lead at the break and a Dundalk full-time win: the hosts win 88% of home matches and led at half-time in 75% of games, with an average of 1.13 goals scored by the break and only 0.13 conceded. Offensive metrics corroborate their advantage — Dundalk averages 5.63 on-target shots and 13.13 total shots per match with a 15% conversion rate, versus Shamrock Rovers’ 3.75 on-target, 12.88 total shots and 11% conversion. There is, however, a risk of a turnaround: Shamrock have won 80% of their last five matches and led at half-time in 80% of those, while in their last five Dundalk have conceded an average of 1.6 goals after the break, which justifies some chance of a visitors’ comeback. Additionally, xG only slightly favors the hosts (1.57 vs 1.43), and the seasonal goals average is 2.0 for Dundalk versus 1.38 for Shamrock, so I weighted the 1/1 scenario most heavily (40%), with the remaining distribution reflecting both the hosts’ seasonal dominance and the visitors’ strong recent form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundalk | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shamrock Rovers is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Dundalk · 2.4 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shamrock Rovers is 101% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Dundalk · 0.81 goals / match - Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Shamrock Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Shamrock Rovers scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundalk
Over / Under - Shamrock Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shamrock Rovers is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Dundalk · 2 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundalk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shamrock Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Dundalk | Liga | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dundalk 0 - 1 - 0 Shamrock Rovers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The Premier Division match finished Dundalk 1:0 Shamrock Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Dundalk score 1.69 goals per game on average and Shamrock Rovers 1.69. The Premier Division average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Dundalk's matches and 50% of Shamrock Rovers's.
What form are Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Dundalk have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Shamrock Rovers 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.