Dundalk vs Waterford: match statistics
Dundalk shows stable home form with a streak of four draws at their own stadium and remains undefeated at home this season. The hosts hold a significant advantage in ball possession (60% vs 47%) and possess a better xG balance on home turf (1.39 xG For vs 1.19 xG Against). Waterford is in a disastrous away form, losing all of their matches on the road (100% Loss%), conceding an average of 3 goals per game, and failing to secure a single point. The gap in form (Dundalk: 0.8 PPG vs Waterford: 0.4 PPG in their last 5 games) and the drastic difference in the away goal difference (-4 for Waterford) clearly favor the home side. Given Dundalk's tendency to draw at home and the offensive weaknesses of both teams, we anticipate a low-scoring match with a slight edge for the hosts.
Dundalk vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundalk played Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Dundalk: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Waterford: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundalk scores 1.20 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Waterford scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundalk 80%, Waterford 40%. Over 2.5: Dundalk 60%, Waterford 20%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Dundalk has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.32. Dundalk: 13.6 shots per match, Waterford: 12.4.
Match halves
Dundalk: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Waterford: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Dundalk: 76-90+ (2 goals). Waterford: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dundalk shows stable home form with a streak of four draws at their own stadium and remains undefeated at home this season. The hosts hold a significant advantage in ball possession (60% vs 47%) and possess a better xG balance on home turf (1.39 xG For vs 1.19 xG Against). Waterford is in a disastrous away form, losing all of their matches on the road (100% Loss%), conceding an average of 3 goals per game, and failing to secure a single point. The gap in form (Dundalk: 0.8 PPG vs Waterford: 0.4 PPG in their last 5 games) and the drastic difference in the away goal difference (-4 for Waterford) clearly favor the home side. Given Dundalk's tendency to draw at home and the offensive weaknesses of both teams, we anticipate a low-scoring match with a slight edge for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundalk | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dundalk is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Dundalk · 0.4 pts / match - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundalk is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Dundalk · 0.6 goals / match - Waterford
Waterford is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Dundalk · 1.6 goals / match - Waterford
Dundalk scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Waterford scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundalk
Over / Under - Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundalk is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Dundalk · 0.8 pts / match - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundalk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundalk
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Dundalk | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.20 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 44% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundalk vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Dundalk 5:0 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundalk vs Waterford?
Dundalk score 1.20 goals per game on average and Waterford 0.60. The Premier Division average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Dundalk's matches and 40% of Waterford's.
What form are Dundalk and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Dundalk have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Waterford 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundalk vs Waterford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.