Dundee vs Hearts: match statistics
Hearts are displaying decidedly higher form and quality this season, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team shows particular effectiveness on the road (60% wins, goal difference +8), averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding just 1.0 goal per away match. Dundee, despite decent home form (50% wins), sits in 9th position and possesses significantly worse statistics, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per home match. Hearts boast better xG figures (1.63 vs 1.18 for the hosts), higher possession (53% vs 42%), and a greater number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.3). Hearts' recent form (4 wins in 5 matches, 2.4 points per match) compared to the solid but less impressive form of Dundee (2.0 points per match) supports a win for the league leaders. The difference in class and quality between the two teams is evident, making Hearts the clear favorite for this encounter.
Dundee vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundee played Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Dundee: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hearts: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundee scores 0.90 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Hearts scores 1.95 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundee 43%, Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Dundee 48%, Hearts 55%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hearts has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.03. Dundee: 9.2 shots per match, Hearts: 14.8.
Match halves
Dundee: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.38. Hearts: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Dundee: 31-45+ (6 goals). Hearts: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hearts are displaying decidedly higher form and quality this season, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team shows particular effectiveness on the road (60% wins, goal difference +8), averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding just 1.0 goal per away match. Dundee, despite decent home form (50% wins), sits in 9th position and possesses significantly worse statistics, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per home match. Hearts boast better xG figures (1.63 vs 1.18 for the hosts), higher possession (53% vs 42%), and a greater number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.3). Hearts' recent form (4 wins in 5 matches, 2.4 points per match) compared to the solid but less impressive form of Dundee (2.0 points per match) supports a win for the league leaders. The difference in class and quality between the two teams is evident, making Hearts the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hearts is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Dundee · 2.4 pts / match - Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hearts is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Dundee · 1.95 goals / match - Hearts
Hearts is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Dundee · 0.85 goals / match - Hearts
Dundee scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Hearts scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundee
Over / Under - Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hearts is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Dundee · 1.65 pts / match - Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundee
Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee | Liga | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dundee 0 - 0 - 1 Hearts. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee vs Hearts?
The Premiership match finished Dundee 0:1 Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Hearts?
Dundee score 0.90 goals per game on average and Hearts 1.95. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Dundee's matches and 50% of Hearts's.
What form are Dundee and Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hearts 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Hearts?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dundee vs Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.