Dundee vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dundee played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 30 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Dundee: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kilmarnock: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dundee scores 0.84 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 0.89 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dundee 42%, Kilmarnock 53%. Over 2.5: Dundee 47%, Kilmarnock 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.93. Dundee: 8.0 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.8.

Match halves

Dundee: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.32. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.37.

Goals by minute

Dundee: 31-45+ (5 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
DundeeKilmarnock
26Shots8
DundeeKilmarnock
6Shots on target4
DundeeKilmarnock
2.43xG1.02
DundeeKilmarnock
7Corners5
DundeeKilmarnock
52Dangerous attacks31
DundeeKilmarnock
12Fouls17
DundeeKilmarnock
2Cards4
DundeeKilmarnock

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.84Goals scored / match0.89
DundeeKilmarnock
1.68Goals conceded / match1.74
DundeeKilmarnock
38%Average possession39%
DundeeKilmarnock
2.68Shots on target / match3.74
DundeeKilmarnock

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.95Shots per match10.79
DundeeKilmarnock
2.68Shots on target3.74
DundeeKilmarnock
10.6%Shot conversion8.3%
DundeeKilmarnock
38%Possession39%
DundeeKilmarnock
0.93xG for1.24
DundeeKilmarnock
1.85xG against1.59
DundeeKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Dundee: BalancedKilmarnock: Balanced
DundeeKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dundee is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Dundee · 0.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee
LLDLW
Season result split
21% W21% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-11
0.84 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Kilmarnock
DLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
11% W37% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-7-10
0.68 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kilmarnock is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.84 goals / match - Dundee · 0.89 goals / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee scoring profile: strong

Dundee scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: very strong

Kilmarnock scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).

16Goals scored (season)17
DundeeKilmarnock
32Goals conceded (season)33
DundeeKilmarnock
2.53Average goals in match2.63
DundeeKilmarnock
4Goals scored (last 5)2
DundeeKilmarnock
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
DundeeKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal63%
DundeeKilmarnock
21%2 goals26%
DundeeKilmarnock
11%3 goals0%
DundeeKilmarnock
0%4 goals0%
DundeeKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal79%
DundeeKilmarnock
53%2 goals58%
DundeeKilmarnock
21%3 goals32%
DundeeKilmarnock
11%4 goals5%
DundeeKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
DundeeKilmarnock
0%BTTS in both halves5%
DundeeKilmarnock
11%Scored in both halves16%
DundeeKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
DundeeKilmarnock
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
DundeeKilmarnock
40%BTTS - last 540%
DundeeKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
DundeeKilmarnock
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
DundeeKilmarnock
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
DundeeKilmarnock

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
DundeeKilmarnock
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
DundeeKilmarnock
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
DundeeKilmarnock

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Dundee · 1.16 pts / match - Kilmarnock

Dundee - half-time state
32% leading16% draw53% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.16
DundeeKilmarnock
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.53
DundeeKilmarnock
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
DundeeKilmarnock
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.21
DundeeKilmarnock
42%Clean sheet before half-time53%
DundeeKilmarnock
63%No goal before half-time58%
DundeeKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

0.79Points per match (2nd half)0.84
DundeeKilmarnock
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.37
DundeeKilmarnock
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
DundeeKilmarnock
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.42
DundeeKilmarnock
42%Clean sheet after half-time37%
DundeeKilmarnock
74%No goal after half-time63%
DundeeKilmarnock

Dundee - second-half results

11% W47% R42% P
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

16% W37% R47% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding42%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dundee - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dundee
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
7
16-30
5
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
7
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dundee

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

DundeeLigaKilmarnock
Average goals in match 2.532.57 2.63
Both teams scored 42%50% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%50% 58%
Clean sheets 16%29% 21%
Goal before half-time 84%74% 74%
Goal after half-time 68%78% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KilmarnockGoalGreg Kiltie
  2. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Jack ThomsonOff: Thomas Richard Lowery
  3. DundeeYellow cardCharlie Reilly
  4. KilmarnockYellow cardJack Thomson
  5. DundeeYellow cardYan Dhanda
  6. KilmarnockYellow cardBradley Lyons
  7. DundeeGoalAshley HayAssist: Charlie Reilly
  8. KilmarnockYellow cardDominic Thompson
  9. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Ben BrannanOff: Greg Kiltie
  10. KilmarnockYellow cardBen Brannan
  11. DundeeGoalCharlie Reilly
  12. DundeeSubstitutionOn: Emile AcauahOff: Charlie Reilly
  13. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Marley WatkinsOff: James Brown
  14. DundeeSubstitutionOn: Imari Narain SamuelsOff: Tony Yogane
  15. DundeeSubstitutionOn: Paul DigbyOff: Yan Dhanda

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Nick WalshMatches officiated: 23
4.35Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins22%Draws17%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dundee 0 - 1 - 0 Kilmarnock. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Kilmarnock FC
0 : 0
Dundee FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The Premiership match finished Dundee 2:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee score 0.84 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.89. The Premiership average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Dundee's matches and 53% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Dundee and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The statistical background for Dundee vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.