Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts are showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning an average of 2.4 points per match. The hosts boast an impressive record of 64% home wins and a positive goal difference of +2 in domestic matches. Ballymena United struggles as the visiting side, losing 58% of away matches and holding a negative goal difference of -5. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.81 vs 1.15), suggesting a higher quality of created chances. Although Ballymena is capable of scoring away, their weak defense (averaging 1.58 goals conceded) and just 33% away wins give the hosts a real chance for three points. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Dungannon Swifts, though Ballymena may put up resistance, hence the moderate probability of a draw.
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dungannon Swifts played Ballymena United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Dungannon Swifts: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ballymena United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Ballymena United scores 1.22 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 35%, Ballymena United 48%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 48%, Ballymena United 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dungannon Swifts has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.24. Dungannon Swifts: 11.3 shots per match, Ballymena United: 9.6.
Match halves
Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.43. Ballymena United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (7 goals). Ballymena United: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dungannon Swifts are showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning an average of 2.4 points per match. The hosts boast an impressive record of 64% home wins and a positive goal difference of +2 in domestic matches. Ballymena United struggles as the visiting side, losing 58% of away matches and holding a negative goal difference of -5. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.81 vs 1.15), suggesting a higher quality of created chances. Although Ballymena is capable of scoring away, their weak defense (averaging 1.58 goals conceded) and just 33% away wins give the hosts a real chance for three points. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Dungannon Swifts, though Ballymena may put up resistance, hence the moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dungannon Swifts is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1 pts / match - Ballymena United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dungannon Swifts scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Ballymena United scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under - Ballymena United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.09 pts / match - Ballymena United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dungannon Swifts
Ballymena United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.74 | 2.74 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 48% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 - 0 Ballymena United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 2:0 Ballymena United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 2, Ballymena United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.26 goals per game on average and Ballymena United 1.22. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 48% of Ballymena United's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ballymena United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?
The statistical background for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.