Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine: match statistics
Coleraine displays significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Dungannon Swifts (6th place). The visitors have a much better overall record (20 wins compared to the hosts' 15) and a more favorable goal difference in away matches (+6 compared to the hosts' +1 at home). Dungannon has managed only 1.2 points per game in their last five matches, while Coleraine has achieved 2.0 points. The hosts have poor home form with a 41% loss rate, while Coleraine demonstrates solid away form with a 41% win rate and a better average xG. Possession statistics (60% for Coleraine compared to 55% for Dungannon) and the visitors' lower average goals conceded (1.12 compared to 1.47) further support an away win.
Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dungannon Swifts played Coleraine in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Dungannon Swifts: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Coleraine: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.21 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Coleraine scores 1.88 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 39%, Coleraine 55%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 52%, Coleraine 55%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Coleraine has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.49. Dungannon Swifts: 11.3 shots per match, Coleraine: 13.7.
Match halves
Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Coleraine: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (9 goals). Coleraine: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Coleraine displays significantly better form and league position (3rd place) compared to Dungannon Swifts (6th place). The visitors have a much better overall record (20 wins compared to the hosts' 15) and a more favorable goal difference in away matches (+6 compared to the hosts' +1 at home). Dungannon has managed only 1.2 points per game in their last five matches, while Coleraine has achieved 2.0 points. The hosts have poor home form with a 41% loss rate, while Coleraine demonstrates solid away form with a 41% win rate and a better average xG. Possession statistics (60% for Coleraine compared to 55% for Dungannon) and the visitors' lower average goals conceded (1.12 compared to 1.47) further support an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators lean slightly pro-yes (Dungannon 56%, Coleraine 53%), and both teams generate solid xG (1.70 vs 1.67). However, defensive signals and the recent 5-match form shift the balance towards "no". Dungannon at home boasts a high clean sheet rate (44%) and a low average of conceded goals (0.75), making it difficult for Coleraine to score. Additionally, Coleraine has a 24% no-goal-scored rate, which increases the risk of a BTTS "no" scenario despite decent shooting parameters (13.71 and 5.06 SOT). In the last 5 matches, the BTTS rate for both teams dropped to 40%, and the average goals conceded are moderate (Dungannon 1.0, Coleraine 0.8), suggesting a more controlled match flow. The most likely pattern is a goal by the hosts with the visitors potentially failing to score, hence the selection is BTTS "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 1.5 line has very solid backing from season-long data: Over 1.5 has occurred in 81% of Dungannon's matches and 88% of Coleraine's, alongside a 100% Over 0.5 for the home side. The goal-scoring model based on xG (1.70 xG_for Dungannon vs 1.12 xG_against Coleraine and 1.67 xG_for Coleraine vs 1.03 xG_against Dungannon) suggests an expected total of approximately 2.65 goals. Both teams generate many shots (about 13.7 per match each) and shots on target (6.19 vs 5.06), favoring at least two goals. Simultaneously, the Over 2.5 market is more balanced (63% vs 47%) and cooled down by the last 5 matches (total goals approx. 2.2), which is why Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick. The high BTTS (Both Teams to Score) rates (56% and 53%) further increase the probability that the match won't end 0-0 or 1-0.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal data clearly shows the home team's overall dominance in the match perspective: 2.50 PPG and an 81% win rate with an average of 2.31 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded. In contrast, the visitors average 1.47 PPG and have a higher loss percentage (35%). Simultaneously, the first halves are statistically cautious for both sides (HT AVG ~1.19) with a very high percentage of clean sheets at the break (63% vs 71%) and a low BTTS HT rate (6%), which favors a draw at half-time. The key element is the second-half profile: the hosts score an average of 1.63 goals after the break and concede only 0.25, with their second-half PPG (ppg_2hg) at 2.44 and a 75% win rate in second halves, supporting a turnaround scenario after half-time. The away team has weaker post-break production (0.76 goals) and higher concessions (0.65), making it less likely for them to hold on for a draw than for the hosts to secure a win. The visitors' better form in the last 5 matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.2) increases the risk of a 2/1 variant, but the home side's qualitative advantage in the core data maintains X/1 as the most probable outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Coleraine | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Coleraine is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.6 pts / match - Coleraine
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coleraine is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.88 goals / match - Coleraine
Coleraine is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 0.94 goals / match - Coleraine
Dungannon Swifts scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Coleraine keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Coleraine scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under - Coleraine
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Coleraine is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.58 pts / match - Coleraine
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Coleraine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dungannon Swifts
Coleraine
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Coleraine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.84 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dungannon Swifts 1 - 0 - 2 Coleraine. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 1:2 Coleraine. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 1, Coleraine won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.21 goals per game on average and Coleraine 1.88. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 55% of Coleraine's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Coleraine 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.