Dungannon Swifts vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dungannon Swifts play Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Dungannon Swifts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dungannon Swifts scores 1.17 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 44%, Larne 39%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 59%, Larne 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.42. Dungannon Swifts: 10.8 shots per match, Larne: 12.4.

Match halves

Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.49. Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05.

Goals by minute

Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (10 goals). Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 33%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
8Shots15
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
3Shots on target6
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.24xG1.93
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6Corners8
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
71Dangerous attacks78
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
10Fouls17
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
3Cards0
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.17Goals scored / match1.92
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
2Goals conceded / match0.68
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
53%Average possession52%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
4.22Shots on target / match5.13
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.78Shots per match12.39
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
4.22Shots on target5.13
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
10.9%Shot conversion15.5%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
53%Possession52%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.42xG for1.56
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.41xG against1.1
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Shooting quality

Dungannon Swifts: BalancedLarne: Efficient finishing
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)39%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 2 pts / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts
LLWWL
Season result split
41% W2% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-1-23
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-0-9
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Larne
WLWDW
Season result split
66% W21% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-5
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-3-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.92 goals / match - Larne

Larne is 194% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 0.68 goals / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts scoring profile: mixed

Dungannon Swifts scores in 66% of matches (27 of 41 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 22% (9 of 41 matches).

48Goals scored (season)73
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
82Goals conceded (season)26
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
3.17Average goals in match2.61
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
14Goals conceded (last 5)4
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

How often they score at least...

66%1 goal84%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
34%2 goals63%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
15%3 goals21%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
2%4 goals13%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal45%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
56%2 goals16%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
29%3 goals5%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
17%4 goals3%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
Dungannon Swifts - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 41 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time16%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
12%Scored in both halves29%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
60%BTTS - last 520%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.02 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.82 pts / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts - half-time state
20% leading44% draw37% trailing
Larne - half-time state
47% leading39% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.02Points per match (1st half)1.82
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.87
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.93Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.24
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
39%Clean sheet before half-time74%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
54%No goal before half-time42%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

0.95Points per match (2nd half)1.87
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.49Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)0.32
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.37
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
41%Clean sheet after half-time74%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
68%No goal after half-time45%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Dungannon Swifts - second-half results

24% W22% R54% P
42
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-24
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.02
PPG before half-time
Lead holding205%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
69
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dungannon Swifts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dungannon Swifts
ScoredConceded
9
9
0-15
10
16
16-30
9
13
31-45
3
13
46-60
7
20
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Larne
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
12
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
12
7
46-60
8
1
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dungannon Swifts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+20.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Dungannon SwiftsLigaLarne
Average goals in match 3.172.94 2.61
Both teams scored 44%52% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%56% 47%
Clean sheets 22%26% 55%
Goal before half-time 80%76% 68%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Dungannon Swifts 1 - 0 - 2 Larne. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 1:2 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Larne?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 1, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

Dungannon Swifts score 1.17 goals per game on average and Larne 1.92. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 39% of Larne's.

What form are Dungannon Swifts and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Larne 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.