Dungannon Swifts vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dungannon Swifts played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Dungannon Swifts: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dungannon Swifts scores 1.06 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Larne scores 1.87 and concedes 0.47. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 25%, Larne 27%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 44%, Larne 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.52. Dungannon Swifts: 10.9 shots per match, Larne: 13.3.

Match halves

Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.38. Larne: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.07.

Goals by minute

Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (5 goals). Larne: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
8Shots15
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
3Shots on target6
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.24xG1.93
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6Corners8
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
71Dangerous attacks78
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
10Fouls17
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
3Cards0
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.06Goals scored / match1.87
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.5Goals conceded / match0.47
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
53%Average possession54%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
4.19Shots on target / match4.73
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.94Shots per match13.27
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
4.19Shots on target4.73
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
9.7%Shot conversion14.1%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
53%Possession54%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.52xG for1.63
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.27xG against0.92
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Shooting quality

Dungannon Swifts: BalancedLarne: Efficient finishing
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 2.6 pts / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts
LWWLW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-8
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-3
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Larne
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
73% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 76% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.87 goals / match - Larne

Larne is 219% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 0.47 goals / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts scoring profile: mixed

Dungannon Swifts scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 60% (9 of 15 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

17Goals scored (season)28
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
24Goals conceded (season)7
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
2.56Average goals in match2.33
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
4Goals scored (last 5)10
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal87%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
38%2 goals67%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6%3 goals20%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0%4 goals13%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal40%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
50%2 goals7%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
25%3 goals0%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
13%4 goals0%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time0%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0%Scored in both halves27%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0%BTTS - last 560%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.87 pts / match - Larne

Dungannon Swifts - half-time state
31% leading31% draw38% trailing
Larne - half-time state
53% leading27% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.87
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.07
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
56%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
56%No goal before half-time47%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)2
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.27
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
56%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne
81%No goal after half-time40%
Dungannon SwiftsLarne

Dungannon Swifts - second-half results

19% W38% D44% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Larne - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
28
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dungannon Swifts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dungannon Swifts
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
4
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
26%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dungannon Swifts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Dungannon SwiftsLigaLarne
Average goals in match 2.562.65 2.33
Both teams scored 25%46% 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%49% 33%
Clean sheets 38%28% 60%
Goal before half-time 75%76% 73%
Goal after half-time 63%78% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Dungannon SwiftsYellow cardPeter Maguire
  2. LarneGoalMark Randall
  3. Dungannon SwiftsGoalSteven Scott
  4. Dungannon SwiftsSubstitutionOn: Bobby-Jack McAleeseOff: James Knowles
  5. LarneSubstitutionOn: Benjamin MageeOff: Mark Randall
  6. Dungannon SwiftsSubstitutionOn: Thomas MaguireOff: Ladislau Leonel Ucha Alves
  7. Dungannon SwiftsYellow cardCahal McGinty
  8. Dungannon SwiftsSubstitutionOn: Andrew MitchellOff: Peter Maguire
  9. Dungannon SwiftsYellow cardDeclan Dunne
  10. LarneGoalPaul O'Neill

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dungannon Swifts 1 - 0 - 0 Larne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Dungannon Swifts FC
2 : 0
Larne FC

FAQ

What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 1:2 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

Dungannon Swifts score 1.06 goals per game on average and Larne 1.87. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 27% of Larne's.

What form are Dungannon Swifts and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Larne?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.