Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dungannon Swifts played Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Dungannon Swifts: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Linfield: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.21 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Linfield scores 1.68 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 41%, Linfield 38%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 53%, Linfield 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Linfield has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.48. Dungannon Swifts: 11.2 shots per match, Linfield: 12.4.
Match halves
Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Linfield: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Dungannon Swifts: 0-15 (9 goals). Linfield: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Linfield to win (2) because the visitors have scored 57 goals this season versus Dungannon’s 41 and conceded just 25 compared to the hosts’ 60, giving the away side a clear defensive edge. In away matches Linfield average 1.06 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dungannon at home average 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded; although the hosts have slightly higher home xG (xG 1.67 vs 1.50), the visitors restrict opponents with a better xG against (1.16 vs 1.36) and keep clean sheets more often (39% vs 28%). Form over the last 5 matches also favors Linfield — an average of 1.4 points per game for the visitors versus 0.8 for the hosts, with Linfield winning 2 of the last 5 fixtures and Dungannon only 1. The hosts hold an advantage in shots on target and higher home conversion (5.17 SoT and 12% conversion vs 4.5 SoT and 9% conversion for Linfield), meaning they will create dangerous chances, but their high goals conceded (60 this season) undermines that strength. Considering the visitors’ defensive stability and overall goal advantage, I assign Linfield a 55% chance to win, a draw 25%, and Dungannon a 20% chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS with a 70% probability and a 30% chance of BTTS. Dungannon at home scores on average 2.38 goals and concedes only 0.44 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of games, which strongly reduces the risk that Linfield will score. Linfield averages 1.06 goals per game this season and has a seasonal BTTS rate of 39%, while the teams’ seasonal BTTS rates are 38% (Dungannon) and 39% (Linfield), both below the league 51%, which also argues against Goal/Goal in this fixture. In the short term, note that in the last 5 matches Dungannon had BTTS in 60% of games and both teams conceded on average 1.2 goals, while chance metrics indicate both sides create opportunities (xG 1.66 vs 1.50; shots on target 5.25 vs 4.5) with significantly better finishing by Dungannon (18% vs 9%), therefore I assign 30% to the BTTS scenario as a realistic but less likely alternative.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data indicate a moderately offensive matchup: home xG is 1.66 and away defense xG allowed is 1.16, yielding an expected 1.41 goals for Dungannon; similarly for Linfield (xG 1.50 + home defense 1.01)/2 ≈ 1.26. Due to the higher home conversion rate 18% versus 9% for the away side and the fact that the home team scores on average 2.38 goals per match, I adjust the forecast to 1.55 goals for Dungannon and 1.10 for Linfield, totaling 2.65 goals. Season Over/Under figures confirm the trend: home matches finish over 1.5 goals in 69% of cases, and Linfield in 67%; over 2.5 is 56% vs 33%, which translates to a moderate probability of Over 2.5 (~52%) and a clear probability for Over 1.5 (~70%). As a result, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is an Over 1.5 bet (recommendation: Over, line 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics favor the home side: Dungannon led at the break in 9 matches (56%), averaging 0.81 goals by half-time and conceding only 0.13. Linfield away led at the break in 5 matches (28%) and averages 0.44 goals at half-time with 0.28 conceded. Over the season the hosts score 2.38 goals at home on average while conceding 0.44, win 81% of home matches, and have a shot conversion rate of 18% versus 9% for their opponents. In second halves Dungannon also dominates (on average 1.56 goals scored in the second half versus 0.61 for Linfield), which suggests a lead at the break will be maintained or extended. The xG difference is small (1.66 vs 1.50), but the home side’s higher conversion yields more goals. From these premises the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Linfield is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1 pts / match - Linfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Linfield is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.68 goals / match - Linfield
Linfield is 138% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 0.74 goals / match - Linfield
Dungannon Swifts scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
Linfield scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under - Linfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Linfield is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.68 pts / match - Linfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dungannon Swifts
Linfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dungannon Swifts 0 - 0 - 3 Linfield. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 1:3 Linfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Linfield?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 0, Linfield won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.21 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.68. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 38% of Linfield's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Linfield in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Linfield 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.